电信基础设施对东盟六国经济增长的影响

Qurrota A'yun Pramitha Thoyibah, Lilik Sugiharti
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引用次数: 1

摘要

资讯及通讯科技(ICT)透过增加网络接驳及宽频服务,成为政府与市民之间资讯交流的推动者。到2030年,东盟的数字技术价值高达6250亿美元(占东盟年度GDP的8%),这可以从提高效率、新产品和服务等方面获得。根据世界银行(2015年)的数据,数字技术的使用有助于经济增长。本研究旨在分析2011-2019年6个东盟国家的个人互联网用户比例、移动电话用户(每100人)、固定宽带用户(每100人)、政府支出和劳动力对人均GDP的影响。本研究使用的数据类型为来自世界银行的二手数据,采用面板数据回归方法进行处理。结果表明,新古典增长理论的同时投入是资本通过电信基础设施,其中包括个人互联网用户比例,移动电话用户(每100人),固定宽带用户(每100人),政府支出和劳动力对东盟六国的经济增长有显著影响。而部分外生变量对经济增长内生变量也表现出显著的影响,且变量值不同。基于个人互联网用户比例、固定宽带用户(每百人)、政府支出等指标的电信基础设施对经济增长具有积极意义。电信基础设施的惊人结果显示,移动电话用户(每100人)对经济增长产生了重大的负面影响。劳动对经济增长没有影响,但具有积极意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Effect of Telecommunication Infrastructure on Economic Growth in the Six ASEAN Countries
Information and Communication Technology (ICT) as a facilitator of information between the government and the public by increasing network access and broadband services. Digital technology in ASEAN is worth up to US$625 billion by 2030 (8 percent of ASEAN's annual GDP), which can be derived from increased efficiency, new products and services, etc. According to the World Bank (2015), the use of digital technology contributes to economic growth. This study aims to analyze the effect of Individual Internet Users Percentage, Mobile Cellular Subscriptions (Per 100 Persons), Fixed Broadband Subscriptions (Per 100 Persons), Government Expenditures and Labor on GDP Per Capita in six ASEAN Countries in 2011-2019. The type of data used in this research is secondary data from the World Bank which is processed by panel data regression method.The results show that simultaneously the input of the Neo-Classical growth theory is capital through telecommunications infrastructure which consists of the Percentage of Individual Internet Users, Mobile Cellular Subscriptions (Per 100 people), Fixed Broadband Subscriptions (Per 100 People), Government Expenditures and Labor have an effect significantly to economic growth in the six ASEAN countries. While partially all exogenous variables also show a significant effect on the endogenous variables of economic growth with varying values. Telecommunication infrastructure based on the indicators of Individual Internet User Percentage, Fixed Broadband Subscriptions (Per 100 Persons), Government Expenditures has a positive significance on economic growth. Surprising results on telecommunications infrastructure with indicators Mobile Cellular Subscriptions (Per 100 people) is a significant negative effect on economic growth. Labor shows that there is no effect but positive significance on economic growth.
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