南部非洲发展共同体的股票市场发展和一体化

IF 0.7 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Sunil K. Bundoo
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引用次数: 23

摘要

本文首先运用贝塔和西格玛收敛分析,然后运用协整分析分析了南部非洲发展共同体的股票市场整合程度。美国市场和SSA指数被用作基准。样本期为1999年1月至2011年12月,采用每日市场指数数据。我们观察到收敛但没有收敛;尽管大多数南部非洲发展共同体国家的西格玛值正在下降。通常情况下,以美国市场为基准,未识别出协整向量。以SSA指标为基准,确定了一个协整向量。本文还对南共体的软件和硬件股票市场整合程度进行了评估。南部非洲共同体的证券交易所必须努力实现更大的一体化,以便它们能够吸引更持久的有价证券流动,而不是不稳定的有价证券流动和更多的外国直接投资流动,这是南部非洲共同体国家的财政和经济发展所非常需要的。我们还需要整合和减少交易所的数量,以改善市值、流动性、市场基础设施、治理等,但最重要的是提高南共体股票市场在国际层面的知名度、稳健性和声誉。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Stock market development and integration in SADC (Southern African Development Community)

The paper analyses the extent of stock market integration in SADC by first analyzing beta and sigma convergence and then using cointegration analysis. The US market and the SSA index were used as benchmarks. The sample period was from January 1999 to December 2011 using daily market index data. We observe beta convergence but not sigma convergence; though the sigma values are falling for most of the SADC countries. Under normal conditions, no cointegrating vector was identified when using the US market as benchmark. When using the SSA index as benchmark one cointegrating vector was identified. The paper also takes stock of the extent of software and hardware stock market integration in SADC. The SADC stock exchanges must work towards greater integration so that they can attract more sustained portfolio flows rather than volatile portfolio flows and also greater FDI flows which are much needed for the financial and economic development of the SADC countries. We also need to consolidate and reduce the number of exchanges with the view to improve market capitalization, liquidity, market infrastructure, governance amongst others but most importantly to increase the visibility, robustness and reputation of SADC stock markets at the international level.

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来源期刊
Review of Development Finance
Review of Development Finance Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Finance
CiteScore
0.80
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