A speech measure for early stratification of fast and slow progressors of bulbar amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: lip movement jitter

Abstract Objective: To assess the utility of novel measures derived from a rapid syllable repetition task (i.e. oral dysdiadochokinesis [DDK]) in early stratification of fast and slow progressive bulbar amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and prediction of bulbar disease progression rate. Methods: Fifty-four individuals with ALS were tracked longitudinally on their oral DDK and global bulbar/speech performance (i.e. bulbar subscore on the ALS Functional Rating Scale-Revised [ALSFRS-R]; articulation rate during passage reading) for a four-month average duration. Based on the bulbar deterioration rate over the tracked period, the participants were stratified as 14 fast bulbar progressors and 40 slow bulbar progressors using a posteriori classification approach. To determine if oral DDK performance predicts the differential bulbar disease progression trajectories in these individuals during the early stages of the tracked period (prior to significant bulbar/speech signs), twenty-two measures of lip motor performance in an oral DDK task were derived to (1) differentiate fast and slow bulbar progressors using the Receiver Operating Characteristic analysis and (2) predict bulbar disease progression rates across all individuals using linear regressions. Results: Movement jitter, a measure of temporal variability of alternating lip movement during DDK, showed 80% sensitivity and 95% specificity in differentiating fast and slow bulbar progressors early in the disease, and outperformed the ALSFRS-R bulbar subscore and articulation rate. Movement jitter also predicted bulbar disease progression rates across participants. Conclusion: Findings provided preliminary validation of the clinical value of movement jitter during oral DDK in patient stratification and bulbar disease prognosis.