金融发展:这是货币政策的优势还是障碍?

IF 2.6 Q3 MANAGEMENT
Thi Lam Ho
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的本研究的目的是根据现有数据,评估1980-2017年期间发达七国集团国家金融发展(FD)对货币政策效率(MPE)的影响。设计/方法/方法本研究遵循以下两步过程:(1)使用基于泰勒曲线理论的蒙特卡罗模拟来建立MPE测度;(2)通过可行的广义最小二乘(FGLS)估计来评估FD对MPE的影响。研究结果表明:(1)MPE随时间变化。货币政策在危机期间似乎无效,并受到国内外冲击的许多影响。相反,在复苏阶段,影响经济实现央行目标的能力往往会增加,这符合实际。(2) FD对MPE有负面影响。有趣的是,在考虑组成部分FD指标的作用时,金融市场的发展对MPE有负面影响,而金融机构的发展则有积极影响。特别是,FI对MPE的影响主要归因于FI深度的影响。同时,FM对MPE产生的影响主要是由于FM中效率的影响。原始性/价值据作者所知,这是首次在使用泰勒曲线理论测量MPE的背景下评估FD对MPE影响的研究。这项研究的结果提出了一项科学实用的MPE措施,并提供了重要的政策启示。本文还对今后的研究提出了建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Financial development: Is it an advantage or obstacle for monetary policy?
PurposeThe objective of this study is to assess the impact of financial development (FD) on monetary policy efficiency (MPE) in developed G7 countries in the period 1980–2017, based on data availability.Design/methodology/approachThis study followed a two-step process as follows: (1) using the Monte Carlo simulation based on Taylor curve theory to build the MPE measure and (2) evaluating the effect of FD on MPE by feasible generalized least squares (FGLS) estimation.FindingsThe results of this study show that (1) MPE varies over time. Monetary policy appears ineffective during the crisis period and is subject to many impacts of domestic and external shocks. On the contrary, the ability to influence the economy to achieve the central bank's goal tends to increase in the recovery stages, and this is in line with the actual. (2) FD has a negative impact on MPE. Interestingly, when considering the role of component FD indicators, the development of financial markets (FMs) has a negative impact on MPE while the development of financial institutions (FIs) has a positive impact. In particular, the impact of FI on MPE is mainly attributed to the impact of the depth of FI. Meanwhile, the impact of FM on MPE is mainly due to the impact of the efficiency in the FM.Originality/valueTo the author’s knowledge, this is the first study that evaluates the impact of FD on MPE in the context of measuring MPE by using the Taylor curve theory. Results from this study suggest a scientific and practical MPE measure and provide significant policy implications. This paper also offers suggestions for future research.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.50
自引率
3.20%
发文量
30
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