劳动力市场和社会契约是否增加了海湾合作委员会国家的女性青年失业率?

Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI:10.1080/17938120.2023.2206759
Wasseem Mina
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在高收入的海湾合作委员会国家中,女性青年失业率几乎是男性青年失业率的两倍。分割的劳动力市场,加上相对不灵活的国家劳动力市场,加上慷慨的社会契约,为国民提供了就业保护,并进一步促进了社会契约的好处。这两个因素可能会影响全国青年对受保护的政府工作的偏好,并提高青年保留工资,从而增加女性青年失业率。我们推测,灵活的非分割劳动力市场改善了女性青年失业率,而社会契约加剧了女性青年失业率。实证证据表明,劳动力市场灵活性和社会契约改善了女性青年失业率,结果对模型规格和样本的变化具有鲁棒性。但是,对于女性青年失业率的改善,劳动市场的灵活性是必不可少的,而社会契约则不是。这项研究对选择适当的工具来解决青年失业问题具有重要的政策意义。
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Do labor markets and the social contract increase female youth unemployment in the GCC countries?
ABSTRACT In the high-income Gulf Cooperation Council countries, the female youth unemployment rate is nearly double the male youth unemployment rate. The segmented labor market with a relatively inflexible national labor market segment – coupled with a generous social contract – provide job protection to nationals and further the benefits of the social contract. These two factors may shape national youth preferences in favor of protected government jobs and raise youth reservation wages, which increase female youth unemployment. We conjecture that flexible non-segmented labor markets improve female youth unemployment rate while the social contract worsens it. Empirical evidence shows labor market flexibility and the social contract improve female youth unemployment rate, a result robust to changes in model specification and the sample. However, labor market flexibility is essential to the improvement in the female youth unemployment rate, while the social contract is not. This research has an important policy implication for selecting the appropriate tool to address youth unemployment.
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