{"title":"过去、历史和未来生物气候条件下的水仙属生态位模型","authors":"E. Bozkurt","doi":"10.3409/fb_70-2.06","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Anatolia has played an important role in the speciation of many species. Global climatic changes affect the distribution of many reptiles in different ways, including their range expansion or habitat loss. In this study, we focused on the genus Anatololacerta which inhabits Anatolia\n and some Greek islands. In total, 150 literature records and 20 items of observation data were analysed with the maximum entropy method (MaxEnt) for the last glacial maximum (LGM), as well as historical (1970-2000) and future (2081-2100; RCP 4.5) bioclimatic conditions. According to our model,\n the distribution ranges in the future conditions for A. danfordi, A. finikensis and A. ibrahimi were more extensive than for the historical conditions. However, A. anatolica and A. pelasgiana may experience a potential habitat loss in the future. Although\n physical barriers were obstacles in the LGM and historical records, these barriers may be overcome after the climatic changes taking place in the near future.","PeriodicalId":50438,"journal":{"name":"Folia Biologica-Krakow","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.8000,"publicationDate":"2022-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Ecological Niche Modelling of the Genus Anatololacerta Under Past, Historical And Future Bioclimatic Conditions\",\"authors\":\"E. Bozkurt\",\"doi\":\"10.3409/fb_70-2.06\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Anatolia has played an important role in the speciation of many species. Global climatic changes affect the distribution of many reptiles in different ways, including their range expansion or habitat loss. In this study, we focused on the genus Anatololacerta which inhabits Anatolia\\n and some Greek islands. In total, 150 literature records and 20 items of observation data were analysed with the maximum entropy method (MaxEnt) for the last glacial maximum (LGM), as well as historical (1970-2000) and future (2081-2100; RCP 4.5) bioclimatic conditions. According to our model,\\n the distribution ranges in the future conditions for A. danfordi, A. finikensis and A. ibrahimi were more extensive than for the historical conditions. However, A. anatolica and A. pelasgiana may experience a potential habitat loss in the future. Although\\n physical barriers were obstacles in the LGM and historical records, these barriers may be overcome after the climatic changes taking place in the near future.\",\"PeriodicalId\":50438,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Folia Biologica-Krakow\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-06-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Folia Biologica-Krakow\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"99\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.3409/fb_70-2.06\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"生物学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"BIOLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Folia Biologica-Krakow","FirstCategoryId":"99","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3409/fb_70-2.06","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"BIOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Ecological Niche Modelling of the Genus Anatololacerta Under Past, Historical And Future Bioclimatic Conditions
Anatolia has played an important role in the speciation of many species. Global climatic changes affect the distribution of many reptiles in different ways, including their range expansion or habitat loss. In this study, we focused on the genus Anatololacerta which inhabits Anatolia
and some Greek islands. In total, 150 literature records and 20 items of observation data were analysed with the maximum entropy method (MaxEnt) for the last glacial maximum (LGM), as well as historical (1970-2000) and future (2081-2100; RCP 4.5) bioclimatic conditions. According to our model,
the distribution ranges in the future conditions for A. danfordi, A. finikensis and A. ibrahimi were more extensive than for the historical conditions. However, A. anatolica and A. pelasgiana may experience a potential habitat loss in the future. Although
physical barriers were obstacles in the LGM and historical records, these barriers may be overcome after the climatic changes taking place in the near future.
期刊介绍:
Folia Biologica (Kraków) is an international online open access journal accepting original scientific articles on various aspects of zoology: phylogeny, genetics, chromosomal studies, ecology, biogeography, experimental zoology and ultrastructural studies. The language of publication is English, articles are assembled in four issues per year.