气候变化对马来西亚雪兰莪州沿海地区的影响

Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences
Umi Amira Jamaluddin, Choun-Sian Lim, J. Pereira
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引用次数: 1

摘要

气候变化是由于影响人类活动和自然生态系统的自然和人为原因导致的气候模式变化。未来的预测(2025-2034年和2041-2050年)表明,与之前的水平(1984-1993年)相比,吉隆坡雪兰莪州的地表温度将上升1.6–2.3°C,极端降雨事件(-55%至+68%)。预计2100年海平面上升约0.5米。气候变化对雪兰莪州沿海地区的人类和自然生态系统构成严重威胁。预计地表温度的升高将降低水稻和油棕榈种植园的产量。极端的气候和水文条件预计将导致这种下降。预计海平面上升将增加低洼地区对沿海洪水的易感性,并损害现有土地利用。近91%的暴露部分是农业和森林地区,其余部分包括交通、住宅、基础设施、商业、公共机构和工业(包括水产养殖)。此外,随着海平面上升,盐水侵入地下水含水层的可能性增加,这对淡水地下水资源产生了影响。吉隆坡雪兰莪州气候变化的影响可以通过采取适应性措施来解决,这些措施考虑到地表和地下两个方面,然后将其纳入海岸带规划政策。有效的适应包括收集科学信息、风险评估、确定适应目标、评估适应备选方案、选择适当的适应措施、规划、实施和监测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Implications of climate change on the coastal zone of Kuala Selangor, Malaysia
Climate change is a variation in climate patterns due to natural and anthropogenic causes that affect human activity and natural ecosystems. Future projections (2025-2034 and 2041-2050) indicate increases in surface temperature of between 1.6 – 2.3°C and extreme rainfall events (between -55% to +68%) in Kuala Selangor, compared to previous levels (1984-1993). Sea-level rise projected for 2100 is about 0.5 m. Climate change poses a serious threat to humans and natural ecosystems in the coastal zone of Kuala Selangor. The projected increase in surface temperature is expected to reduce the yield from paddy and oil palm plantations. Extreme climate and hydrological conditions are expected to contribute to this decline. Projected sea level rise will increase the susceptibility of low-lying areas to coastal inundation and compromise existing land use. Almost 91% of the exposed components are agricultural and forest areas while the rest comprises transport, residential, infrastructure, business, public institutions and industy (including aquaculture). In addition, the potential for saline intrusion into groundwater aquifers increases as the sea level rises and this has implications for fresh groundwater resource. The implications of climate change in Kuala Selangor can be addressed by undertaking adaptive measures that take into account both surface and sub-surface aspects, which are then integrated into the coastal zone planning policy. Effective adaptation involves the collection of scientific information, risk assessment, determination of adaptation objectives, assessment of adaptation options, selection of appropriate adaptation measures, planning, implementation and monitoring.
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来源期刊
Bulletin of the Geological Society of Malaysia
Bulletin of the Geological Society of Malaysia Earth and Planetary Sciences-Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
1.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
15
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