对区域一级结构性失业率的估计：以捷克经济为例

Business and Economic Horizons Pub Date : 2018-10-30 DOI:10.15208/BEH.2018.66

V. Pošta

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引用次数: 2

摘要

虽然对整个经济体的结构性失业率通常有大量的估计，但在区域一级对这一现象的分析却相当稀少。当然，任务是完全不同的，因为作为经济中期或长期均衡形象的结构性失业概念并不需要在区域层面上成立。本文提出了一种基于劳动力市场搜索理论的计量经济学方法。采用广义矩量法估计捷克经济14个地区的所谓平稳失业率。通过比较估计的失业率和实际观察到的失业率水平，可以分析2000年以后经济上升和衰退的影响。的确，从区域的角度来看，在某些时期的经济影响差别很大。

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Estimates of structural unemployment rates at a regional level: example of the Czech economy

While there are typically plenty of estimates of structural unemployment rate for an economy as a whole, the analysis of this phenomenon at the regional level is rather sparse. Of course, the task is quite different as the concept of structural unemployment as an image of the medium-run or long-run equilibrium of the economy does not need to hold at a regional level. This paper proposes an econometrical approach based on the search theory of the labor market. The generalized method of moments is employed to estimate the so-called stationarized unemployment rates in the fourteen regions of the Czech economy. By comparing the estimates and actually observed levels of unemployment rates, the effects of economic upswings and recessions after the year 2000 may be analyzed. Indeed, from the regional perspective the economic impacts differ substantially in certain periods of time.

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Business and Economic Horizons ECONOMICS-

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期刊介绍： The Business and Economic Horizons (BEH) is an international peer-reviewed journal that publishes high quality theoretical, empirical, and review papers covering the broad spectrum of research in areas of economics, business, management, and finance. The journal aim is to bridge the gap between the theory and the observed data in these constantly developing domains. BEH Editorial Board welcomes the high-quality original research articles and review papers that verify the well-grounded and the emerging theories by employing the econometric, statistical methods or other relevant empirical methods in theoretical and applied economic analysis. BEH does not discriminate articles utilizing the non-mainstream approaches such as experimental research, institutional analysis, other variations of heterodox and developmental economic studies. Therefore, the submissions in any field of micro- and macroeconomics, business ethics, economic policy or finance are appropriate for this journal. We hope, the provided contributions will help to understand the contemporary challenges faced by the private and public sector and will establish an international forum of empirical research.