经济全球化、能源强度、城市化、工业化和增长对孟加拉国二氧化碳排放影响的计量分析

Mowshumi Sharmin, M. Tareque
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引用次数: 14

摘要

本文采用Johansen协整、向量误差校正模型(VECM)和VEC-Granger因果检验技术,研究了经济全球化、能源强度、城市化、工业化和增长对孟加拉国人均二氧化碳排放的影响。为了分析所有变量的创新对二氧化碳排放的影响,本研究还采用了方差分解(VDC)来获得稳健的结果。长期和因果关系检验的结果假设,增长刺激能源消耗,从而导致二氧化碳排放。VDC的结果表明,从长远来看,能源强度、城市化、工业化和增长占孟加拉国二氧化碳排放量的60%以上。另一方面,从长远来看,经济全球化的影响会更强,但在解释二氧化碳排放波动时,它只占9%。为了避免增长带来的不利影响,需要实施节能政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Econometric Analysis of the Effect of Economic Globalization, Energy Intensity, Urbanization, Industrialization and Growth on CO2 Emissions of Bangladesh
This paper examines the effect of economic globalization, energy intensity, urbanization, industrialization and growth on per capita CO2 emissions of Bangladesh employing techniques of Johansen co-integration, Vector Error-Correction Models (VECM) and VEC Granger Causality Tests. To analyse the impacts of innovations in all variables on CO2 emissions, this study additionally employs variance decomposition (VDC) for robust findings. The result of long run and causality test postulates that growth stimulates energy consumption and consequently causes CO2 emissions. VDC result posits that in the long run, energy intensity, urbanization, industrialization and growth contribute more than 60% of the CO2 emission in Bangladesh. On the other hand, effect of economic globalization becomes stronger in the long run but in explaining fluctuations in CO2 emissions it contributes only 9%. To avoid adverse effect of growth implementations of energy conservation policies are needed.
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