登革热的生物和机械传播模型

Q2 Mathematics
Laura Laura, Asep K. Supriatna, Mia Siti Khumaeroh, N. Anggriani
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引用次数: 4

摘要

登革热是由登革热病毒引起的,主要由埃及伊蚊传播。直到最近,还没有可用的疫苗来预防这种疾病的传播,这使得世界上30%的人口面临着这种疾病的风险。埃及伊蚊在吸血期被称为多重叮咬者。登革热病毒有两种可能从蚊子传播给人类。首先,在病毒在蚊子体内经历外源潜伏期(EIP)后,传染性蚊子可能会通过叮咬将病毒传播给易感人群。其次,传播直接通过蚊子唾液中携带的病毒在第二次叮咬时转移给易感人群而发生,而无需等待EIP。后者被称为机械传播,当易感蚊子叮咬有传染性的人类时,几乎同时将病毒传播给健康的人类。只有少数文献考虑这种登革热传播。在本文中,我们通过在机械传动的情况下修改标准登革热传播模型,建立了登革热传播的数学模型。我们发现疾病的传播行为可以用基本繁殖数(BRN)R0来描述。如果R01。分析表明,在存在和不存在机械传动的情况下,BRN的比率随着机械传动率的增加而增加。爆发强度也有显著变化,尤其是当机械传播率大于生物传播率时。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Biological and Mechanical Transmission Models of Dengue Fever
Dengue fever disease is caused by the dengue virus and transmitted primarily by the Aedes aegypti mosquitoes. There is no vaccine available to prevent transmission of the disease until recently which makes 30% of the worlds population is at risk of the disease. The Aedes aegypti mosquitoes are known as multiplebiters during their blood meal periods. There are two possible transmissions of the dengue virus from the mosquitoes to humans. First, infectious mosquitoes may transmit the virus through the bite to a susceptible human after the virus experiencing the extrinsic incubation period (EIP) in the body of the mosquitoes. Second, the transmission happens directly through the transfer of virus carried in the saliva of a mosquito to a susceptible human at the second bite without waiting for the EIP. The later is known as a mechanical transmission, which occurs when a susceptible mosquito bites an infectious human and almost at the same time it transmits the virus to a healthy human. Only a few literature consider this kind of dengue transmission. In this paper, we develop a mathematical model for dengue transmission by modifying the standard dengue transmission model with the presence of mechanical transmission. We show that the spreading behavior of the disease can be described by the basic reproduction number (BRN), R0. The disease will die out if R0 1. The analysis shows that the ratio of the BRN in the presence and absence of the mechanical transmission increases as the mechanical transmission rate increases. There is also a significant change in the outbreak intensity especially when the mechanical transmission rate is greater than the biological transmission rate.
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来源期刊
Communication in Biomathematical Sciences
Communication in Biomathematical Sciences Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology-Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
3.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
7
审稿时长
24 weeks
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