非洲次区域一级国际调解的复杂性:南苏丹的经验教训

IF 0.7 Q4 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY
I. Magara
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自2013年以来,政府间发展管理局(伊加特)一直在调解南苏丹冲突。伊加特对南苏丹的干预基于其和平解决地区冲突的创始准则,并参考了非洲和平与安全架构(APSA)下的辅助原则。然而,令人费解的是,即使冲突各方在伊加特的主持下谈判和签署了许多协议,暴力仍然有增无减。冲突各方似乎不愿执行2018年的和平协议,该协议可以说是无法执行的。然而,伊加特调解人似乎一直对这一局势知情。随之而来的问题是,为什么伊加特会继续参与既不结束暴力也不提供解决方案承诺的调解进程?根据经验数据,本文认为伊加特的组织结构和功能是理解和解释非洲和平与安全区域主义更广泛话语中的南苏丹现象的关键。本文建议关注非洲区域经济共同体(RECs)结构和功能中政治权力动态的嵌入性,如伊加特,作为(重新)思考和(重新)定位APSA内区域冲突管理规范和实践的方法之一,并追求“非洲解决非洲问题”。设计/方法/方法本文的数据是通过文献查阅和39位精英访谈获得的。访谈对象包括政府间发展组织成员国代表、政府间发展组织及其机构的官员、调解支助小组、冲突各方、外交官以及根据其在调解中的作用有目的地挑选的其他相关专家。实地访谈在埃塞俄比亚、肯尼亚和乌干达进行,其他访谈在网上进行。对调查结果的分析和提出主要是前瞻性的,突出了相互冲突的建立和平想法和做法的共存。讨论的中心是伊加特的和平概念和根据其结构和功能设计所采取的建立和平办法等相互关联的主题。调查结果说明了和平进程的复杂性以及强权政治在伊加特和平与安全安排中的中心地位。鉴于这些发现,本文呼应了政府间发展组织和非洲联盟(AU)之间需要加强和可预测的合作框架,作为APSA运作和追求非洲解决非洲问题的非洲解决方案的核心。因此,本文建议将伊加特的政治计划转变为一个强大的政治机构,在伊加特的国家元首和政府首脑与APSA的智者小组(PoW)之间建立可预测的相互联系和结构化的接触。原创性/价值本研究基于通过研究者自己的框架问题获得的经验数据,其论点基于研究者自己在现有理论框架(特别是混合和平理论)内创新框架的解释。在此基础上,本文对伊加特与非盟在APSA框架下可能可行的合作框架提出了大胆而务实的建议
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Complexities of international mediation at sub-regional levels in Africa: lessons from South Sudan
Purpose The Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) has been mediating the South Sudan conflict since 2013. IGAD’s intervention in South Sudan is anchored on its founding norm of peaceful settlement of regional conflicts and in reference to the principle of subsidiarity, under the Africa Peace and Security Architecture (APSA). However, it is puzzling how violence continued unabated even as conflict parties negotiated and signed numerous agreements under the auspices of IGAD. The parties to conflict seem unwilling to implement the 2018 peace agreement, which is arguably un-implementable. Yet, it appears that IGAD mediators were privy to this situation all along. The question that then arises is why IGAD would continue engaging in a mediation process that neither ends violence nor offers a promise of a resolution? Drawing out on empirical data, this paper argues that IGAD’s organisational structures and functionality are key to understanding and explaining the South Sudan phenomenon within broader discourses on peace and security regionalism in Africa. This paper suggests the need to pay attention to the embeddedness of political power dynamics in the structures and functionality of Africa’s Regional Economic Communities (RECs), such as IGAD, as one of the ways to (re)thinking and (re)orienting norms and practices of regional conflict management within the APSA and in pursuit of the “African solutions to African problems.” Design/methodology/approach Data for this paper was obtained through document reviews and 39 elite interviews. The interviews were conducted with representatives of IGAD member states, bureaucrats of IGAD and its organs mediation support teams, conflict parties, diplomats and other relevant experts purposively selected based on their role in the mediation. The physical interviews were conducted in Ethiopia, Kenya and Uganda, with others conducted virtually. Analysis and presentation of findings are largely perspectival, highlighting coexistence of contending peacemaking ideas and practices. The discussions centre around inter-linked themes of IGAD’s conceptions of peace and approaches to peacemaking as informed by its structural and functional designs. Findings Findings illustrate the complexity of the peace process and the centrality of power politics in IGAD’s peace and security arrangements. In view of the findings, this paper echoes the need for enhanced and predictable collaborative framework between IGAD and the African Union (AU) as central to the operationalisation of the APSA and pursuit of the African solutions to the African problems. Hence, this paper suggests transforming IGAD’s political program into a robust political bureau with predictable interlinkages and structured engagements between IGAD’s heads of state and government and the APSA’s Panel of the Wise (PoW). Originality/value The study is based on empirical data obtained through the researcher's own framed questions, and its argument is based on the researcher's own interpretations innovatively framed within existing theoretical framework, particularly hybrid peace theory. Based on the findings, this paper makes bold and practical recommendations for possible workable collaborative framework between IGAD and the AU under the APSA framework
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