{"title":"离散截尾δ-冲击模型中随机变量的分布","authors":"S. Chadjiconstantinidis, S. Eryilmaz","doi":"10.1017/apr.2022.72","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"\n Suppose that a system is affected by a sequence of random shocks that occur over certain time periods. In this paper we study the discrete censored \n \n \n \n$\\delta$\n\n \n -shock model, \n \n \n \n$\\delta \\ge 1$\n\n \n , for which the system fails whenever no shock occurs within a \n \n \n \n$\\delta$\n\n \n -length time period from the last shock, by supposing that the interarrival times between consecutive shocks are described by a first-order Markov chain (as well as under the binomial shock process, i.e., when the interarrival times between successive shocks have a geometric distribution). Using the Markov chain embedding technique introduced by Chadjiconstantinidis et al. (Adv. Appl. Prob.32, 2000), we study the joint and marginal distributions of the system’s lifetime, the number of shocks, and the number of periods in which no shocks occur, up to the failure of the system. The joint and marginal probability generating functions of these random variables are obtained, and several recursions and exact formulae are given for the evaluation of their probability mass functions and moments. It is shown that the system’s lifetime follows a Markov geometric distribution of order \n \n \n \n$\\delta$\n\n \n (a geometric distribution of order \n \n \n \n$\\delta$\n\n \n under the binomial setup) and also that it follows a matrix-geometric distribution. Some reliability properties are also given under the binomial shock process, by showing that a shift of the system’s lifetime random variable follows a compound geometric distribution. Finally, we introduce a new mixed discrete censored \n \n \n \n$\\delta$\n\n \n -shock model, for which the system fails when no shock occurs within a \n \n \n \n$\\delta$\n\n \n -length time period from the last shock, or the magnitude of the shock is larger than a given critical threshold \n \n \n \n$\\gamma >0$\n\n \n . Similarly, for this mixed model, we study the joint and marginal distributions of the system’s lifetime, the number of shocks, and the number of periods in which no shocks occur, up to the failure of the system, under the binomial shock process.","PeriodicalId":53160,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Applied Probability","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9000,"publicationDate":"2023-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Distributions of random variables involved in discrete censored δ-shock models\",\"authors\":\"S. Chadjiconstantinidis, S. Eryilmaz\",\"doi\":\"10.1017/apr.2022.72\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"\\n Suppose that a system is affected by a sequence of random shocks that occur over certain time periods. In this paper we study the discrete censored \\n \\n \\n \\n$\\\\delta$\\n\\n \\n -shock model, \\n \\n \\n \\n$\\\\delta \\\\ge 1$\\n\\n \\n , for which the system fails whenever no shock occurs within a \\n \\n \\n \\n$\\\\delta$\\n\\n \\n -length time period from the last shock, by supposing that the interarrival times between consecutive shocks are described by a first-order Markov chain (as well as under the binomial shock process, i.e., when the interarrival times between successive shocks have a geometric distribution). Using the Markov chain embedding technique introduced by Chadjiconstantinidis et al. (Adv. Appl. Prob.32, 2000), we study the joint and marginal distributions of the system’s lifetime, the number of shocks, and the number of periods in which no shocks occur, up to the failure of the system. The joint and marginal probability generating functions of these random variables are obtained, and several recursions and exact formulae are given for the evaluation of their probability mass functions and moments. It is shown that the system’s lifetime follows a Markov geometric distribution of order \\n \\n \\n \\n$\\\\delta$\\n\\n \\n (a geometric distribution of order \\n \\n \\n \\n$\\\\delta$\\n\\n \\n under the binomial setup) and also that it follows a matrix-geometric distribution. Some reliability properties are also given under the binomial shock process, by showing that a shift of the system’s lifetime random variable follows a compound geometric distribution. Finally, we introduce a new mixed discrete censored \\n \\n \\n \\n$\\\\delta$\\n\\n \\n -shock model, for which the system fails when no shock occurs within a \\n \\n \\n \\n$\\\\delta$\\n\\n \\n -length time period from the last shock, or the magnitude of the shock is larger than a given critical threshold \\n \\n \\n \\n$\\\\gamma >0$\\n\\n \\n . Similarly, for this mixed model, we study the joint and marginal distributions of the system’s lifetime, the number of shocks, and the number of periods in which no shocks occur, up to the failure of the system, under the binomial shock process.\",\"PeriodicalId\":53160,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Advances in Applied Probability\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-05-19\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Advances in Applied Probability\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1017/apr.2022.72\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Advances in Applied Probability","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1017/apr.2022.72","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Distributions of random variables involved in discrete censored δ-shock models
Suppose that a system is affected by a sequence of random shocks that occur over certain time periods. In this paper we study the discrete censored
$\delta$
-shock model,
$\delta \ge 1$
, for which the system fails whenever no shock occurs within a
$\delta$
-length time period from the last shock, by supposing that the interarrival times between consecutive shocks are described by a first-order Markov chain (as well as under the binomial shock process, i.e., when the interarrival times between successive shocks have a geometric distribution). Using the Markov chain embedding technique introduced by Chadjiconstantinidis et al. (Adv. Appl. Prob.32, 2000), we study the joint and marginal distributions of the system’s lifetime, the number of shocks, and the number of periods in which no shocks occur, up to the failure of the system. The joint and marginal probability generating functions of these random variables are obtained, and several recursions and exact formulae are given for the evaluation of their probability mass functions and moments. It is shown that the system’s lifetime follows a Markov geometric distribution of order
$\delta$
(a geometric distribution of order
$\delta$
under the binomial setup) and also that it follows a matrix-geometric distribution. Some reliability properties are also given under the binomial shock process, by showing that a shift of the system’s lifetime random variable follows a compound geometric distribution. Finally, we introduce a new mixed discrete censored
$\delta$
-shock model, for which the system fails when no shock occurs within a
$\delta$
-length time period from the last shock, or the magnitude of the shock is larger than a given critical threshold
$\gamma >0$
. Similarly, for this mixed model, we study the joint and marginal distributions of the system’s lifetime, the number of shocks, and the number of periods in which no shocks occur, up to the failure of the system, under the binomial shock process.
期刊介绍:
The Advances in Applied Probability has been published by the Applied Probability Trust for over four decades, and is a companion publication to the Journal of Applied Probability. It contains mathematical and scientific papers of interest to applied probabilists, with emphasis on applications in a broad spectrum of disciplines, including the biosciences, operations research, telecommunications, computer science, engineering, epidemiology, financial mathematics, the physical and social sciences, and any field where stochastic modeling is used.
A submission to Applied Probability represents a submission that may, at the Editor-in-Chief’s discretion, appear in either the Journal of Applied Probability or the Advances in Applied Probability. Typically, shorter papers appear in the Journal, with longer contributions appearing in the Advances.