南非奶牛场业绩的潜在改善

IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY
David Beca
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2003-2021年,南非牧场型奶牛场的牧场收获量显著增加。与其他国家相比,牧草产量和消费量的增加有助于降低南非的牛奶生产成本,并带来相对较高的利润水平。全国牛奶产量稳步增长。与此同时,牧草在奶牛群总日粮中所占的比例显著下降:补品占日粮的主要份额。这种对奶牛群日粮的改变给奶牛群的平均饲养成本和生产成本带来了上行压力。本文的重点是,如果奶农显著提高牧场在其畜群总日粮中的比例,减少对补充饲料的依赖,他们是否会过得更好。结果表明,逐步增加奶牛群饲粮中牧草成分和比例,从行业平均水平的41%提高到57%,可以增加利润。结果是利润(资本回报率)增加了26%,每升利润率增加了59%,每升生产成本降低了7%。如果这种生产系统的变化,即增加牧场的使用和减少补充饲料的使用,在整个南非牧场乳制品行业得到复制,那么该行业的农民将获得更大的利润,他们的业务将比目前使用的喂养制度更具弹性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Potential improvement in the performance of dairy farms in South Africa
ABSTRACT Over 2003–2021, the pasture harvested on South African pasture-based dairy farms increased markedly. This increased production and consumption of pasture has helped to reduce the cost of producing milk in South Africa relative to dairying in other countries and delivered comparatively high levels of profit. National milk production has grown steadily. Over this same time, pasture as a proportion of the total diet of dairy herds has decreased significantly: supplements make up the major share of the diet. This change to dairy herd diets puts upward pressure on the average cost of feeding the herd and on the cost of production. The focus of this paper is on whether dairy farmers would be better off if they significantly increased the proportion of pasture in the total diet of their herds and relied less on supplementary feed. It is shown that progressively increasing the pasture component and proportion in the diet of dairy herds, from an industry average of 41% to 57%, could increase profit. Results were a 26% increase in profit (return on capital), a 59% increase in profit margin per litre, and a 7% decrease in cost of production per litre. If this change in production system to increased use of pasture and less use of supplementary feeds was replicated across the entire South African pasture-based dairy industry, farmers in the industry would be significantly more profitable and their businesses would be more resilient than under the current feeding regimes that are used.
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来源期刊
Agrekon
Agrekon AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY-
CiteScore
2.80
自引率
7.70%
发文量
21
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Agrekon publishes scholarly articles that contribute to the existing literature in the domain of Food, Agricultural and Resource Economics as it applies to Southern Africa. The editors of Agrekon therefore invite contributions in this context that provide new insights, either through the problems they address, the methods they employ or the theoretical and practical insights gained from the results. The quarterly journal serves as the official publication of the Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA) and is published by Taylor & Francis.
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