{"title":"单变量扩散的规范试验","authors":"Stan Hurn, Vance L. Martin, Lina Xu","doi":"10.1080/07474938.2021.1995683","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract A new class of specification tests for stochastic differential equations (SDE) is proposed to determine whether the probability integral transform of the estimated model generates an independent and identically distributed uniform random variable. The tests are based on Neyman’s smooth test, appropriately adjusted to correct for both the size distortion arising from having to estimate the unknown parameters of the SDE and possible dependence in the uniform random variable. The suite of tests is compared against other commonly used specification tests for SDEs. The finite sample properties of the tests are investigated using a range of Monte Carlo experiments. The tests are then applied to testing the specification of SDEs used to model the spot interest rate and financial asset volatility.","PeriodicalId":11438,"journal":{"name":"Econometric Reviews","volume":"41 1","pages":"607 - 632"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8000,"publicationDate":"2021-11-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Specification tests for univariate diffusions\",\"authors\":\"Stan Hurn, Vance L. Martin, Lina Xu\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/07474938.2021.1995683\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Abstract A new class of specification tests for stochastic differential equations (SDE) is proposed to determine whether the probability integral transform of the estimated model generates an independent and identically distributed uniform random variable. The tests are based on Neyman’s smooth test, appropriately adjusted to correct for both the size distortion arising from having to estimate the unknown parameters of the SDE and possible dependence in the uniform random variable. The suite of tests is compared against other commonly used specification tests for SDEs. The finite sample properties of the tests are investigated using a range of Monte Carlo experiments. The tests are then applied to testing the specification of SDEs used to model the spot interest rate and financial asset volatility.\",\"PeriodicalId\":11438,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Econometric Reviews\",\"volume\":\"41 1\",\"pages\":\"607 - 632\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-11-22\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Econometric Reviews\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/07474938.2021.1995683\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Econometric Reviews","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/07474938.2021.1995683","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Abstract A new class of specification tests for stochastic differential equations (SDE) is proposed to determine whether the probability integral transform of the estimated model generates an independent and identically distributed uniform random variable. The tests are based on Neyman’s smooth test, appropriately adjusted to correct for both the size distortion arising from having to estimate the unknown parameters of the SDE and possible dependence in the uniform random variable. The suite of tests is compared against other commonly used specification tests for SDEs. The finite sample properties of the tests are investigated using a range of Monte Carlo experiments. The tests are then applied to testing the specification of SDEs used to model the spot interest rate and financial asset volatility.
期刊介绍:
Econometric Reviews is widely regarded as one of the top 5 core journals in econometrics. It probes the limits of econometric knowledge, featuring regular, state-of-the-art single blind refereed articles and book reviews. ER has been consistently the leader and innovator in its acclaimed retrospective and critical surveys and interchanges on current or developing topics. Special issues of the journal are developed by a world-renowned editorial board. These bring together leading experts from econometrics and beyond. Reviews of books and software are also within the scope of the journal. Its content is expressly intended to reach beyond econometrics and advanced empirical economics, to statistics and other social sciences.