意大利违反封锁规定,每日新冠肺炎阳性病例数达到高峰

Gabriele Ruiu, Maria Laura Ruiu
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引用次数: 8

摘要

意大利是第一个遭受COVID-19大规模爆发的西方国家。自2020年3月11日起,意大利政府批准了一系列限制人员流动和社会接触的紧急限制措施。这篇短文的目的是测试违反规范的数量(与人员流动有关)是否可能导致几天后新冠病毒阳性病例达到峰值。我们发现,违反封锁规范的峰值与6天后新增阳性病例的峰值相对应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Violation of lockdown norms and peaks in daily number of positive cases to COVID-19 in Italy
Italy has been the first Western Country to suffer a massive outbreak of COVID-19. Starting from the 11 st of March 2020, the Italian Government approved a series of emergency restrictive measures to limit people’s movement and social contacts. The aim of this short paper is to test if the number of norm-violations (related to people’s movement) might contribute to the peaks of new COVID-19 positives after few days. We show that peaks in the violations of the lockdown norms correspond to peaks in new positive cases about 6 days later.
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