Boole、Reichenbach和Popper多年前关于概率和条件的一个公式

IF 0.5 3区哲学 Q3 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE

History and Philosophy of Logic Pub Date : 2022-01-09 DOI:10.1080/01445340.2021.2003670

H. Rott

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引用次数: 1

摘要

这篇注释提供了一个非常简短的观察历史，即物质条件的概率通常不同于，但不能小于给定a的B的条件概率。这两个概率之间的差异对于条件句的解释和归纳概率的可能性是重要的。它可以在所谓的“超额定律”中定量规定，波普尔似乎已经要求优先权。我认为，这样的优先权主张应该被拒绝，而应该给予Boole和Reichenbach，如果有的话。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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‘A Formula Which I Derived Many Years Ago’ Boole, Reichenbach and Popper on Probability and Conditionals

This note presents a very brief history of the observation that the probability of the material conditional is in general different from, but cannot be less than, the conditional probability of B given A. The difference between the two probabilities is significant for the interpretation of conditionals and for the possibility of inductive probability. It can be quantitatively specified in so-called ‘excess laws’ for which Popper appears to have claimed priority. I argue that such a priority claim should be rejected and credit should instead be given, if to anyone, to Boole and Reichenbach instead.

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来源期刊

History and Philosophy of Logic 综合性期刊-科学史与科学哲学

CiteScore

0.80

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

>12 weeks

期刊介绍： History and Philosophy of Logic contains articles, notes and book reviews dealing with the history and philosophy of logic. ’Logic’ is understood to be any volume of knowledge which was regarded as logic at the time in question. ’History’ refers back to ancient times and also to work in this century; however, the Editor will not accept articles, including review articles, on very recent work on a topic. ’Philosophy’ refers to broad and general questions: specialist articles which are now classed as ’philosophical logic’ will not be published. The Editor will consider articles on the relationship between logic and other branches of knowledge, but the component of logic must be substantial. Topics with no temporal specification are to be interpreted both historically and philosophically. Each topic includes its own metalogic where appropriate.