公共卫生危机与总统支持率之间的联系:来自韩国COVID-19的证据

IF 0.3 4区社会学 Q3 AREA STUDIES

Korea Observer Pub Date : 2022-02-28 DOI:10.29152/koiks.2022.53.1.105

N. Lee, J. M. Lee, Byung-Deuk Woo

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究以韩国的传染病预防管理为例，分析了新冠肺炎确诊人数的变化与总统支持率的关系。我们将疫情隔离与总统支持率联系起来，对韩国总统支持率的每日民意调查数据进行了时间序列溢出分析。这表明，随着新冠疫情扩散引发的健康危机，文在寅的支持率也会上升，因为在新冠疫情突出的情况下，评价文在寅政府应对措施的国民很可能会支持文在寅。我们还发现，由于确诊病例数的波动，总统支持率的变化并不一致，但由于人们对大流行的疲劳，随着时间的推移而有所不同。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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The Link between Public Health Crisis and Presidential Approval: Evidence from the COVID-19 in South Korea

This study examines the relationship between the changes in the number of the COVID-19 confirmed cases and presidential approval ratings by using cases of infectious disease prevention management in Korea. Linking the pandemic quarantine with presidential approval, we apply a time-series spillover analysis to the daily poll data on Korean presidential approval ratings. The findings demonstrate that Moon's presidential approval ratings tend to rise with the health crisis caused by the spread of the COVID-19, because the public evaluating the countermeasures against the COVID-19 of Moon's administration are likely to support Moon when the issue of the COVID-19 is salient. We also find that changes in presidential approval ratings due to the fluctuations in the number of confirmed cases are not consistent but differentiated depending on the period, because of the fatigue of people with the pandemic.

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来源期刊

Korea Observer Multiple-

CiteScore

0.70

自引率

20.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The「KOREA OBSERVER」, an English quarterly journal, has been published by THE INSTITUTE OF KOREAN STUDIES since 1968. The research articles are contributed by scholars and experts on various subjects, such as Korean political, economic, social, and cultural issues, as well as Korean unification, North Korea, and Korea’s foreign relations. The「KOREA OBSERVER」is peer-reviewed journal and maintains its high quality standards. The Journal is distributed to the libraries, academic institutions, research institutes, and individuals over 160 countries in the world. It is indexed by the PAIS International, UMI, Ingenta and International Bibliography of the Social Sciences.