儿童早期发展干预计划的影响:使用提议模型的成本效益分析

V. Aravindhan, Charafeddine Lama, Sinno Durriyah, Mikati Mohamad A
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引用次数: 1

摘要

目的:早期儿童发展干预(ECDIs)的目的是改善儿童的整体功能结果,而不是家庭环境所提供的。ECDIs的成本效益分析(CBA)使用灵活且易于应用的模型,可以补充更细粒度和非常理想的CBA研究,这些研究通常可能太难或太昂贵而无法执行。方法:回顾和分析全球相关文献,以人均国民生产总值(PCGNP)百分比为比较基础,确定:i)干预对认知结果的影响,ii)改善的认知结果对预期的个性化PCGNP的影响,以及iii) ECDIs的持续时间及其年度成本。随后,我们基于分析模型执行了CBA,该模型使用智商增加作为ecdi带来的后续经济收益的代理。结果:用于计算ECDIs在学龄前(两岁:3至4岁)影响的模型基于以下文献:干预导致智商平均增加约8点,较高的智商与较高的后期PCGNP相关。对ECDI直接收益与初始成本产生的收入的预测显示,在24岁(范围:22-33岁)时,ECDI的回收成本达到了盈亏平衡点,收益成本比为4.19(2.08-6.24)。结论:我们的CBA提供了一个可在各国应用的拟议模型,并允许针对特定社区进行量身定制的修改(例如,为ECDIs插入不同的成本)。该模型可以潜在地补充更细粒度和更理想的成本效益研究,当这些研究不可能进行,但仍然需要一个CBA。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Early Childhood Developmental Intervention Programs: Cost-Benefit Analysis Using a Proposed Model
Objective: Early Childhood Developmental Interventions (ECDIs) were developed with the aim of improving overall functional outcome of children over and above what the home environment provides. Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) of ECDIs using a flexible and easy to apply model that can complement the more granular and highly desirable CBA studies that often may be too difficult or too expensive to perform. Methods: Review and analysis of the relevant worldwide literature to determine, on a Percent Per Capita Gross National Product (PCGNP) comparative basis: i) Impact of interventions on cognitive outcomes, ii) Impact of improved cognitive outcome on expected later individualized PCGNP, and iii) Duration of ECDIs and their yearly costs. We subsequently performed a CBA based on an analysis model that uses IQ increases as a proxy for subsequent economic gains resulting from ECDIs. Results: The model used to calculate the impact of ECDIs during the preschool period (two years: ages 3 through 4), is based on the literature that shows the following: Interventions result in a mean increase of intelligence quotient of approximately 8 points, and a higher intelligence quotient is associated with a higher later PCGNP. Projections of revenue resulting from direct benefits of ECDIs versus initial costs revealed a breakeven point for recuperating costs of ECDI at the age of 24 years (range: 22-33 years) with a benefit-cost ratio of 4.19 (2.08-6.24). Conclusion: Our CBA provides a proposed model that can be applied across countries, and that allows for tailored modifications for specific communities (e.g. plugging in different costs for ECDIs). This model could potentially complement the more granular and more desirable cost-benefit studies whenever such studies are not possible to perform but a CBA is nevertheless needed.
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