外国撤资、南非经济增长与发展:实证分析

IF 1.1 Q3 ECONOMICS
W. Matekenya, C. Moyo
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引用次数: 1

摘要

目的本研究的目的是调查1991-2019年期间外国直接撤资(FDD)对南非经济增长和发展的影响。设计/方法/方法采用非线性自回归分布滞后技术进行实证分析。指定了两个回归模型,一个用于经济增长,另一个用于以贫困为代表的发展。实证结果表明,外国撤资对经济增长和发展都不利。此外,研究结果表明,外国撤资的负面影响大于外国直接投资流入的正面影响。因此,南非政策制定者应将促进留住外国直接投资流入的政策与吸引流入的政策结合起来。此外,促进经济自由的政策,如透明度和缩短政府商业经营许可证发放时间,也至关重要。原创性/价值大多数关于FDD的文献都侧重于公司视角。关于FDD对经济增长影响的现有研究没有调查撤资对经济发展的影响。经济增长是实现社会经济发展的必要条件,但不是充分条件。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Foreign divestment, economic growth and development in South Africa: an empirical analysis
Purpose The purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of foreign direct divestments (FDD) on economic growth and development in South Africa for the period 1991–2019. Design/methodology/approach The non-linear autoregressive distributed lag technique is used for the empirical analysis. Two regression models are specified, one for economic growth and the other for development which is proxied by poverty. Findings The empirical results suggest that foreign divestments are detrimental to both economic growth and development. Furthermore, the results suggest that the negative effects of foreign divestments outweigh the positive effects of FDI inflows. Practical implications South African policymakers should thus use policies that promote the retention of FDI inflows together with those that attract inflows. Furthermore, policies that promote economic freedom such as transparency and reduction in the time frame for granting government permits for business operations are also of paramount importance. Originality/value Most of the available literature on FDD focuses on the firm perspective. Available studies on the effect of FDD on economic growth do not investigate the effect of divestment on economic development. Economic growth is a necessary but not a sufficient condition for the achievement of socioeconomic development.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
4.20%
发文量
17
期刊介绍: The Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies (JCEFTS) negotiates China''s unique position within the international economy, and its interaction across the globe. From a truly international perspective, the journal publishes both qualitative and quantitative research in all areas of Chinese business and foreign trade, technical economics, business environment and business strategy. JCEFTS publishes high quality research papers, viewpoints, conceptual papers, case studies, literature reviews and general views. Emphasis is placed on the publication of articles which seek to link theory with application, or critically analyse real situations in terms of Chinese economics and business in China, with the objective of identifying good practice in these areas and assisting in the development of more appropriate arrangements for addressing crucial issues of Chinese economics and business. Papers accepted for publication will be double–blind peer-reviewed to ensure academic rigour and integrity.
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