宏观经济对股票价格的影响

Toufiq Agung Pratomo Sugito Putra, S. Sugiyanto
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引用次数: 0

摘要

宏观经济学是经济活动不可分割的组成部分。这项研究的目的是通过对金融部门更集中、更具针对性的研究来证明宏观经济效应对股票回报的影响。这项研究使用了一种具有数学技术的定量方法,2001-2018年期间使用的数据,以及具有向量自回归(VAR)方法的时间序列模型,其中使用的数据是平稳的,并且不是协整的。VAR模型表明,如果测量变量之间存在平行的相互作用,则可以类似地考虑这些变量,从而不再存在更多的内生和外生变量。研究结果表明,通货膨胀、汇率和利率没有显著影响,而经济增长对2001-2018年印尼证券交易所金融部门的股票回报产生了影响
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
MACRO-ECONOMIC IMPACT ON STOCK PRICES
Macroeconomics is an integral component of economic activity. The goal of this research is to demonstrate the effects of the macro-economic effect on stock returns with a more focused and tailored scope of the financial sector. This research uses a quantitative methodology with mathematical techniques, data used in the period 2001-2018, time series models with Vector Autoregressive (VAR) approaches where the data used are stationary and not co-integrated. The VAR model shows that if there is a parallel interaction between the measured variables, these variables can be considered similarly so that there are no more endogenous and exogenous variables. The findings showed that inflation, exchange rates and interest rates have no significant effect while economic growth had an impact on stock returns in the financial sector on the Indonesian stock exchange in 2001-2018
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