东盟国家FDI流入与经济全球化的关系——基于小波分解的面板自举因果检验

IF 2.5 Q2 ECONOMICS
Muhammed Sehid Gorus, Veli Yilanci, Maxwell Kongkuah
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究旨在探讨1985-2018年7个东南亚国家联盟(ASEAN)国家的外国直接投资(FDI)流入与经济全球化之间的因果关系(考虑事实和法律指标)。我们的样本包括印度尼西亚、老挝、马来西亚、菲律宾、新加坡、泰国和越南。在实证方面,我们提出了基于小波分解的面板自举因果检验,以寻找不同时间尺度序列之间的因果关系。该方法的主要优点如下:(a)检验序列的单位根行为,或序列之间是否存在协整关系不是先决条件;(b)可以检验不同时间尺度序列之间的因果关系。此外,我们采用Kónya的面板自举因果检验(Econ model 23:978-992, 2006)将我们的结果与基于小波分解的面板自举因果检验进行比较。除了因果关系分析外,本研究还利用Westerlund-Edgerton(2007)的面板自举协整检验来寻找变量之间的长期关系。本文方法的结果表明,东盟国家的FDI流入量与经济全球化水平的类型相互影响,尤其是在长期内。实证研究结果为政策制定者提供了一些重要启示。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
FDI Inflows-Economic Globalization Nexus in ASEAN Countries: The Panel Bootstrap Causality Test Based on Wavelet Decomposition

This study aims to investigate the causal linkage between foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows and economic globalization (considering de facto and de jure indexes) for 7 Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries for 1985–2018. Our sample consists of Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. Empirically, we propose the panel bootstrap causality test based on wavelet decomposition to find a causal link between the series in different time scales. The main advantages of the methodology can be listed as follows; (a) testing the unit root behavior of the series, or existence of a cointegration relationship between the series are not pre-requisites, (b) one can test the causal relationship between the series in different time scales. Also, we employ the panel bootstrap causality test of Kónya (Econ Modell 23:978–992, 2006) to compare our results with the panel bootstrap causality test based on wavelet decomposition. In addition to the causality analyses, this study utilizes the panel bootstrap cointegration test of Westerlund-Edgerton (2007) to find long-run relationship between variables. The proposed method’s results exhibit that ASEAN countries’ FDI inflows and types of economic globalization levels have mutually affected each other, especially in the long-run. The empirical findings offer some significant implications for policymakers.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
34
期刊介绍: The current remarkable growth in the Asia-Pacific financial markets is certain to continue. These markets are expected to play a further important role in the world capital markets for investment and risk management. In accordance with this development, Asia-Pacific Financial Markets (formerly Financial Engineering and the Japanese Markets), the official journal of the Japanese Association of Financial Econometrics and Engineering (JAFEE), is expected to provide an international forum for researchers and practitioners in academia, industry, and government, who engage in empirical and/or theoretical research into the financial markets. We invite submission of quality papers on all aspects of finance and financial engineering. Here we interpret the term ''financial engineering'' broadly enough to cover such topics as financial time series, portfolio analysis, global asset allocation, trading strategy for investment, optimization methods, macro monetary economic analysis and pricing models for various financial assets including derivatives We stress that purely theoretical papers, as well as empirical studies that use Asia-Pacific market data, are welcome. Officially cited as: Asia-Pac Financ Markets
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