财务困境预测:财务比率和企业规模的作用

Atika Widyo Ramadani, D. Ratmono
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引用次数: 2

摘要

财务困境反映了公司财务业绩的持续下降,需要预测并将其降至最低。因此,本研究旨在以2018-2020年在印度尼西亚证券交易所上市的128家制造业公司为样本,检验财务比率在预测由公司规模调节的财务困境方面的作用。数据分析方法是基于偏最小二乘的结构方程模型(SEM-PLS)和SmartPLS 3.0。结果表明,杠杆率和流动性对财务困境有负面影响,但经营现金流的影响相反。同时,企业规模可以调节杠杆和经营现金流对财务困境的影响,但另一方面,企业规模削弱了流动性与财务困境的关系。因此,这项研究对制造业企业的启示可以作为分析财务困境的基准。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
FINANCIAL DISTRESS PREDICTION: THE ROLE OF FINANCIAL RATIO AND FIRM SIZE
Financial distress reflects a continuous decline in the company's financial performance that needs to be predicted and minimized. Therefore, this study aims to test financial ratios in predicting financial distress moderated by firm size with a sample of 128 manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2018-2020. The data analysis method is Structural Equation Model based on Partial Least Square (SEM-PLS) with SmartPLS 3.0. The results showed that leverage and liquidity negatively affected financial distress, but operating cash flow had the opposite effect. Meanwhile, firm size can moderate the effect of leverage and operating cash flow on financial distress, but on the other hand, firm size weakens the relationship of liquidity to financial distress. Therefore, the implications of this research for manufacturing companies serve as a benchmark for analyzing financial distress.
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