随机微分方程参数估计的几种方法

Cai Xinrui, Wang Lijin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们提出了三种基于离散观测数据的随机微分方程参数估计方法。第一种方法是为线性随机微分方程设计的。对于这些方程,我们推导出精确解的某些运算的分布,并假设观测数据的相关运算服从这种分布,由此我们估计漂移系数和扩散系数中的未知参数。在第二种方法中,我们假设观测数据的某些运算和由Euler Maruyama格式产生的Ito意义SDE的数值解的某些运算服从相同的分布,由此可以估计未知参数。我们对Stratonovich意义上的SDE使用第三种方法。对于这些方程,我们导出了由中点格式产生的数值解的相关运算的分布,并使数据的相同运算服从该分布,以获得未知参数的估计。数值结果表明了所提出方法的有效性,并表明Euler Maruyama格式产生的估计误差约为O(h0.5)阶,而中点格式产生的误差约为0(h)阶,其中h是数值方法的时间步长。此外,数值结果表明,我们的方法比现有的EM-MLE估计更准确。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Some methods of parameter estimation for stochastic differential equations
We propose three methods of parameter estimation based on discrete observation data for stochastic differential equations (SDEs). The first method is designed for linear stochastic differential equations (SDEs). For these equations we deduce distribution of certain operation of the exact solution and assume that the relevant operation of the observed data obey this distribution, from which we estimate the unknown parameters in the drift and diffusion coefficients. In the second method, we suppose that certain operation of the observation data and that of the numerical solution arising from the Euler-Maruyama scheme for the SDEs of Ito sense obey the same distribution, from which the unknown parameters can be estimated. We use the third method for SDEs of Stratonovich sense. For these equations we derive the distribution of relevant operation of the numerical solution produced by the midpoint scheme and let the same operation of the data obey this distribution to get estimation of the unknown parameters. Numerical results show validity of the proposed methods, and illustrate that the estimation error produced by the Euler-Maruyama scheme is about of order O(h0.5) while that by the midpoint scheme is about of order O(h), with h being the time step size of the numerical methods. Furthermore, the numerical results show that our methods are more accurate than the existing EM-MLE estimator.
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来源期刊
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期刊介绍: Journal of University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (bimonthly) is an academic journal under the supervision of the Chinese Academy of Sciences and sponsored by the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences. Founded in 1984, the journal mainly publishes excellent papers in the fields of basic and technical sciences from researchers, teachers and postgraduates of the institutes of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, the University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, and other institutions of higher learning and research. The contents of the journal include high-level review articles (special edition), innovative research articles and brief reports on basic and applied research in the fields of mathematics, science, chemistry, astronomy, geography, biology, environment, materials, electronics and computers, etc. The journal welcomes papers in Chinese or English. The journal welcomes submissions using Chinese or English manuscripts. Accepted: Chinese Science and Technology Comprehensive Core Journals (Peking University) Chinese Science and Technology Core Journals (Ministry of Science and Technology) Chinese Science Citation Database Core Journals (Chinese Academy of Sciences)
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