解释后共产主义国家的投票率下降：移民的影响

Q4 Social Sciences

Studia Universitatis Babes-Bolyai Sociologia Pub Date : 2017-12-01 DOI:10.1515/subbs-2017-0010

Mircea Comșa

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引用次数: 1

摘要

摘要前共产主义国家的投票率下降引起了学术界的广泛关注。在这篇论文中，我在新数据上重新检验了以前的一些假设，并提出了一个考虑外部移民影响的新假设。通过对1989年至2012年间30个后共产主义国家举行的272次总统和议会选举的数据集使用多元回归模型，我发现“移民假说”得到了有力的支持：在其他条件相同的情况下，移民率提高1个百分点，选民投票率降低约0.4个百分点。以前关于投票率下降原因的大多数假设也得到了支持。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Explaining Turnout Decline in Post-Communist Countries: The Impact of Migration

Abstract Turnout decline in former communist countries has attracted a great deal of scholarly attention. In this paper, I re-test some of the previous hypotheses on new data and I propose a new hypothesis that considers the impact of external migration. Using multivariate regression models on a dataset of 272 presidential and parliamentary elections held in 30 post-communist countries between 1989 and 2012, I have found strong support for the “migration hypothesis”: other things being equal, an increase of migration rate by 1 percentage point reduces voter turnout by around 0.4 percentage points. Most of the previous hypotheses related to causes of turnout decline are supported too.

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来源期刊

Studia Universitatis Babes-Bolyai Sociologia Social Sciences-Sociology and Political Science

CiteScore

0.70

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

5 weeks