实现不同年龄和性别群体的目标就业率

Q4 Mathematics

Statistics in Transition Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI:10.21307/stattrans-2021-046

S. Jaworski, Zofia Zielińska-Kolasińska

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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要欧洲国家的季度就业率是根据在五年内实现年龄和性别群体内特定就业率的可能性进行分析的。德国的就业率是这项研究的基准。基于一类指数平滑模型的蒙特卡罗模拟估计了似然。这项研究对欧洲国家的青年工人和部分老年工人的就业率作出了悲观的预测。

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Towards a target employment rate within age and gender groups

Abstract Quarterly employment rates in European countries are analysed in terms of the likelihood of achieving a specific employment rate within age and gender groups in a five-year horizon. The German employment rate serves as a benchmark for this research. The likelihood is estimated by a Monte-Carlo simulation based on the class of exponential smoothing models. The research presents a pessimistic prognosis of employment rates in European countries with respect to young and partly to older workers.

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来源期刊

Statistics in Transition Decision Sciences-Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty

CiteScore

1.00

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

9 weeks

期刊介绍： Statistics in Transition (SiT) is an international journal published jointly by the Polish Statistical Association (PTS) and the Central Statistical Office of Poland (CSO/GUS), which sponsors this publication. Launched in 1993, it was issued twice a year until 2006; since then it appears - under a slightly changed title, Statistics in Transition new series - three times a year; and after 2013 as a regular quarterly journal." The journal provides a forum for exchange of ideas and experience amongst members of international community of statisticians, data producers and users, including researchers, teachers, policy makers and the general public. Its initially dominating focus on statistical issues pertinent to transition from centrally planned to a market-oriented economy has gradually been extended to embracing statistical problems related to development and modernization of the system of public (official) statistics, in general.