在一阶核中new - west是最优的吗?

IF 9.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Thomas Kolokotrones , James H. Stock , Christopher D. Walker
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引用次数: 0

摘要

Newey-West (1987) 标准误差是时间序列回归中用于异方差和自相关稳健(HAR)推断的主要标准误差。Newey-West 估计器使用的是巴特利特核,这是一个一阶核,意味着其特征指数 q 等于 1,其中 q 被定义为 k[r](0)=limt→0|t|-r(k(0)-k(t)) 所定义的最大 r 值,并且是有限的。这就提出了一个显然尚未研究过的问题:巴特利特核是否是一阶核中的最优核。我们证明,对于 q<2,在高斯位置模型中进行 HAR 检验或在谱密度估计中最小化 MSE 时,不存在最优的 qth 阶核。事实上,对于任何 q<2,qth-阶正半定常核的空间都不是封闭的,而且,所有连续的 qth-阶核都可以分解为 qth 和 second-阶核的加权和,这表明对于 q<2,不存在有意义的 "纯 "qth-阶核的概念。不过,可以使用函数 Iq[k]=k[q](0)1/q∫k2(t)dt 对任何给定的 qth 阶内核集合进行排序,数值越小,渐近性能越好。我们研究了各种一阶估计值的 Iq[k] 值,发现没有一个估计值比 Bartlett 内核更好。这些比较为继续使用具有测试最优平滑参数和固定临界值的 Newey-West 估计器提供了更多理由,尽管 Bartlett 在一阶核中缺乏最优性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Is Newey–West optimal among first-order kernels?

Newey–West (1987) standard errors are the dominant standard errors used for heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation robust (HAR) inference in time series regression. The Newey–West estimator uses the Bartlett kernel, which is a first-order kernel, meaning that its characteristic exponent, q, is equal to 1, where q is defined as the largest value of r for which the quantity k[r](0)=limt0|t|r(k(0)k(t)) is defined and finite. This raises the apparently uninvestigated question of whether the Bartlett kernel is optimal among first-order kernels. We demonstrate that, for q<2, there is no optimal qth-order kernel for HAR testing in the Gaussian location model or for minimizing the MSE in spectral density estimation. In fact, for any q<2, the space of qth-order positive-semidefinite kernels is not closed and, moreover, all continuous qth-order kernels can be decomposed into a weighted sum of qth and second-order kernels, which suggests that there is no meaningful notion of ‘pure’ qth-order kernels for q<2. Nevertheless, it is possible to rank any given collection of qth-order kernels using the functional Iq[k]=k[q](0)1/qk2(t)dt with smaller values corresponding to better asymptotic performance. We examine the value of Iq[k] for a wide variety of first-order estimators and find that none improve upon the Bartlett kernel. These comparisons provide additional justification for the continued use of the Newey–West estimator with testing-optimal smoothing parameters and fixed-b critical values despite the lack of optimality of Bartlett among first-order kernels.

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来源期刊
Journal of Econometrics
Journal of Econometrics 社会科学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
8.60
自引率
1.60%
发文量
220
审稿时长
3-8 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Econometrics serves as an outlet for important, high quality, new research in both theoretical and applied econometrics. The scope of the Journal includes papers dealing with identification, estimation, testing, decision, and prediction issues encountered in economic research. Classical Bayesian statistics, and machine learning methods, are decidedly within the range of the Journal''s interests. The Annals of Econometrics is a supplement to the Journal of Econometrics.
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