自动平衡常见冲击索赔模型

IF 1.5 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE
G. Taylor, Phuong Vu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文研究了索赔三角形的常见冲击模型。这些通常被构造为冲击组件和特殊组件的线性组合。以前的文献已经讨论了这种模型的不平衡特性,因此冲击可能对某些观测值贡献过大或不足。文献也对此进行了修正。本文讨论了“自动平衡”模型,其中所有的冲击和特质成分都对观测值有贡献,因此它们的比例贡献从一个观测值到另一个观测值是恒定的。发现自动平衡的条件简单,适用于各种模型结构。给出了数值例证。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Auto-balanced common shock claim models
The paper is concerned with common shock models of claim triangles. These are usually constructed as linear combinations of shock components and idiosyncratic components. Previous literature has discussed the unbalanced property of such models, whereby the shocks may over- or under-contribute to some observations. The literature has also introduced corrections for this. The present paper discusses “auto-balanced” models, in which all shock and idiosyncratic components contribute to observations such that their proportionate contributions are constant from one observation to another. The conditions for auto-balance are found to be simple and applicable to a wide range of model structures. Numerical illustrations are given.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
5.90%
发文量
22
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