MTTfireCAL R软件包——一种创新、全面、快速的MTT火灾蔓延建模系统校准程序

IF 2.7 3区 农林科学 Q2 ECOLOGY
B. Aparício, A. Benali, J. Pereira, A. Sá
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引用次数: 0

摘要

火灾蔓延行为模型用于估计火灾行为指标、火灾危害、暴露和整个景观的风险。最广泛使用的火灾蔓延模型之一是最小行进时间(MTT),它需要一个非常耗时的、互动的、反复试验的校准过程来重现观察到的火灾状况。本研究提出了mttfireal套件,该工具可以通过测试和组合多个设置来快速校准MTT火灾蔓延模型,然后根据模型重现历史火灾模式的能力(如火灾规模分布和火灾频率)对它们进行排序。在这里,我们解释了主要的方法步骤,并通过将其与两个研究领域的典型校准程序进行比较来验证该软件包。此外,我们估计了确保可靠校准所需的最小火灾次数。总的来说,mttfireal R包的使用和点火数量的优化使得MTT建模系统的校准比典型的试错校准更快。使用mttfireal校准的MTT建模系统也能够更好地重现历史火灾模式。该工具具有支持与MTT合作的学术和业务社区的潜力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
MTTfireCAL Package for R—An Innovative, Comprehensive, and Fast Procedure to Calibrate the MTT Fire Spread Modelling System
Fire spread behavior models are used to estimate fire behavior metrics, fire hazard, exposure, and risk across the landscape. One of the most widely used fire spread models is the minimum travel time (MTT), which requires a very time-consuming, interactive, trial-and-error calibration process to reproduce observed fire regimens. This study presents the MTTfireCAL package for R, a tool that enables fast calibration of the MTT fire spread models by testing and combining multiple settings and then ranking them based on the model’s capacity to reproduce historical fire patterns, such as fire size distribution and fire frequency. Here, we explain the main methodological steps and validate the package by comparing it against the typical calibration procedures in two study areas. In addition, we estimate the minimum number of fire runs required to ensure a reliable calibration. Overall, the use of MTTfireCAL R package and the optimization of the number of ignitions used allowed for a faster calibration of the MTT modeling system than the typical trial-and-error calibration. The MTT modeling system calibrated using MTTfireCAL was also able to better reproduce the historical fire patterns. This tool has the potential to support the academic and operational community working with MTT.
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来源期刊
Fire-Switzerland
Fire-Switzerland Multiple-
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
15.60%
发文量
182
审稿时长
11 weeks
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