Charly Fernand Agoh, T. T. Lekadou, Mahaman Bachir Saley, Bi Trazié Jérémie Gala, J. Danumah, Pierre-Marie Janvier Coffi, Z. Koffi, B. Goula
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Statistical break methods indicate a rainfall break in 1982 which marks a modification of the rainfall regime thus translating a drop in rainfall of 15%, a recession in the frequency of rainy days in general and in particular in rainfall heights between 10 and 30 mm and greater than 50 mm. This break is accompanied by a shortening of the rainy seasons, with average rainfall durations ranging from 54 days (short rainy season) to 104 days (great rainy season). Despite the disturbances in the different seasons of the year, the monthly rainfall regimes in the area have not changed. The assessment of the effects of drought on water resources using the Standardized Precipitation and Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) for three-time scales (1 month, 3 months and 12 months) indicates a severe drought ranging from 3% to 7% over the period 1961 to 2018. However, despite the presence of this severe drought, the intensity of the drought was found to be moderate on all time scales. 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引用次数: 3
摘要
本研究旨在描述科特迪瓦东南部的气候变化,并显示其对水资源供应的影响。为此,将统计和水文方法应用于CNRA Marc DELORME研究站收集的气候数据。对这些数据的统计趋势测试显示,降水量显著减少,温度、日照和蒸发量增加。统计中断方法表明,1982年的降雨中断标志着降雨制度的改变,从而导致降雨量下降15%,降雨日频率普遍下降,尤其是降雨量高度在10至30毫米至50毫米之间,平均降雨持续时间为54天(短雨季)至104天(大雨季)。尽管一年中的不同季节都有扰动,但该地区的月降雨量没有变化。使用三个时间尺度(1个月、3个月和12个月)的标准化降水和蒸发蒸腾指数(SPEI)评估干旱对水资源的影响表明,1961年至2018年期间发生了3%至7%的严重干旱。然而,尽管存在这种严重的干旱,但干旱的强度在所有时间尺度上都是中等的。Thornthwaite方法用于强调这种气候变化对该地区水资源的影响。估计年平均补给量为402毫米,在赤字期间已减少到153毫米,减少了约62%。年平均径流量为294毫米,下降到257毫米,下降了约13%。降雨中断后(1983-2018年)渗透的水量减少,这一记录解释了地下水位深度的非均匀性下降。
Impact of Climate Variability on Water Resources: The Case of Marc Delorme-Cnra Station, Southeast of Ivory Coast
This study aims to characterize the climatic variability in the South-East of Ivory Coast and to show its impact on the supply of water resources. To do this, statistical and hydrological methods were applied to climatic data collected at the Marc DELORME Research Station of the CNRA. The statistical trend tests on this data revealed a significant decrease in precipitation and an increase in temperature, insolation and evaporation. Statistical break methods indicate a rainfall break in 1982 which marks a modification of the rainfall regime thus translating a drop in rainfall of 15%, a recession in the frequency of rainy days in general and in particular in rainfall heights between 10 and 30 mm and greater than 50 mm. This break is accompanied by a shortening of the rainy seasons, with average rainfall durations ranging from 54 days (short rainy season) to 104 days (great rainy season). Despite the disturbances in the different seasons of the year, the monthly rainfall regimes in the area have not changed. The assessment of the effects of drought on water resources using the Standardized Precipitation and Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) for three-time scales (1 month, 3 months and 12 months) indicates a severe drought ranging from 3% to 7% over the period 1961 to 2018. However, despite the presence of this severe drought, the intensity of the drought was found to be moderate on all time scales. The Thorrnthwaite method was used to highlight the impacts of this climatic variability on the region’s water resources. The average annual recharge estimated at 402 mm, has been reduced to 153 mm during a deficit period, a decrease of about 62%. The average annual runoff, which was 294 mm, fells to 257 mm, a decrease of about 13%. This recorded decrease in the water infiltrated after the rainfall break (1983-2018), explains the heterogeneous decrease in the depth of the water table.