政党代表选民的偏好吗?2018年韩国地方选举的聚类分析

Q3 Social Sciences
Hyun-Chool Lee, Alexandre Repkine
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们采用对2000名参加过2018年韩国地方选举的选民进行的调查结果,对韩国选民的偏好进行聚类分析。我们试图检验五大政党充分代表这些偏好的假设。我们发现,在假设五个投票集群是最佳数量的情况下,韩国选民和确定的五个投票阵营之间可能存在严重的不匹配。在放宽这一假设后,我们发现韩国的最佳投票阵营数量是两个或三个,这表明两党或三党制将更适合代表2018年韩国选民的偏好。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Do Political Parties Represent Voters’ Preference? A Clustering Analysis of Korea’s Local Election of 2018
We employ the results of a survey conducted on two thousand voters that have participated in Korean local election of 2018 to perform clustering analysis of Korean voters’ preferences. We attempt to test the hypothesis of these preferences being adequately represented by the five major political parties. We find that there was likely a significant mismatch between Korean voters and the five voting camps identified under the assumption of five being an optimal number of the voting clusters. After relaxing this assumption we found that the optimal number of voting camps in Korea is two or three, suggesting that a two or a tri-partite political party system would have been a more adequate match representing Korean voters’ preferences in 2018.
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来源期刊
Philippine Political Science Journal
Philippine Political Science Journal Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
17
期刊介绍: The Philippine Political Science Journal (PPSJ) is an internationally refereed journal and the official publication of the Philippine Political Science Association (PPSA). The PPSJ welcomes articles dealing with the politics and international relations of Southeast Asia. Manuscripts may focus on individual countries of the region but comparative articles about the countries in the region and the region as a whole are especially welcome.
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