特刊:应对新冠肺炎疫情对亚洲影响的政策应对

IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS
Chun-Hsien Yeh, P. Chow, Hsien‐Min Lien
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引用次数: 0

摘要

新冠肺炎疫情深刻影响了世界各国的社会和经济活动。由于亚洲国家在全球供应链中发挥着关键作用,其经济发展是世界经济的关键驱动力,因此更好地了解其经济如何受到新冠肺炎疫情的影响以及应对这些影响的政策措施至关重要。本期共有五篇论文研究相关课题:台湾三重刺激券效应;韩国新冠肺炎刺激资金对当地小企业销售的影响;基于新冠肺炎疫情和政府政策应对的全球恐惧指数的能力;股票市场回报率对新冠肺炎大流行的实际经济增长的预测力;以及新冠肺炎疫情对国际货币市场的影响。华、彭和杨撰写的主要论文以台湾的三重刺激券为例,评估了新冠肺炎大流行期间振兴券的经济效益。研究发现,刺激政策具有积极的好处,包括(a)诱导消费者使用振兴的三重券,(b)提振消费者信心,(c)帮助经济增长率从0.1173%提高到0.2156%,以及(d)显著影响服务业。第二篇论文由Choi撰写,研究了如何通过新冠肺炎刺激资金在韩国促进当地小企业的销售。论文发现,与其他机构相比,刺激性支出导致接受当地货币的机构的卡支出显著增加。虽然刺激支出在食品杂货、家具和美容行业的估计支出效果更大,但餐馆、休闲和旅游等销售额大幅下降的行业并没有从刺激支出中获得太多收益。这表明,针对受影响最严重的部门可能是一项更有效的政策措施,可以缓解各部门因新冠肺炎造成的经济损失差距。第三篇论文由Kathuria和Kumar撰写,研究了基于新冠肺炎疫情和政府政策应对的全球恐惧指数(GFI)作为预测八个基于印度卢比的汇率回报序列的不确定性指标的能力。本文采用Kim和Shamsuddin(2020)提出的wild bootstrap似然比来检验基于印度卢比的每日汇率回报序列的可预测性。结果表明,GFI是基于印度卢比的汇率回报序列的一个不重要的决定因素。然而
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Special Issue: Policy Responses to the impacts of COVID‐19 pandemic on Asia
The COVID-19 pandemic has deeply influenced the social and economic activities of countries around the world. As countries in Asia play key roles in the global supply chain and their economic development is a crucial driving force of the world economy, it is important to better understand how their economies are affected by the COVID-19 pandemic and their policy responses to such impacts. In this issue, we assemble five papers studying relevant topics: the effect of Taiwan's Triple Stimulus Vouchers; the impact of Korea's COVID-19 stimulus payments on sales of local small businesses; the ability of the global fear index based on COVID-19 pandemic and government policy responses; the predictive power of the stock market return for the real economic growth with respect to COVID-19 pandemic; and the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on international currency markets. The lead paper, written by Hua, Peng, and Yang, evaluates the economic benefits of revitali-zation vouchers during the COVID-19 pandemic using Taiwan's Triple Stimulus Vouchers as an example. The paper finds that the stimulus policy has positive benefits by (a) inducing con-sumers to use revitalized triple vouchers, (b) boosting consumer confidence, (c) helping increase the economic growth rate from 0.1173% to 0.2156%, and (d) significantly influencing the service industry. The second paper, written by Choi, examines how sales of local small businesses can be promoted through COVID-19 stimulus payments in Korea. The paper finds that the stimulus payments led to significant increases in card spending in establishments accepting local currency relative to other establishments. While the estimated spending effect of the stimulus payments among groceries, furniture, and beauty sectors is larger, sectors such as restaurants, leisure, and travel experiencing substantial sales losses do not gain much from the stimulus payments. This suggests that targeting sectors that are the most severely affected can be a more effective policy measure in terms of alleviating the gaps in COVID-19-induced economic losses across sectors. The third paper, written by Kathuria and Kumar, examines the ability of the global fear index (GFI), based on the COVID-19 pandemic and government policy responses, as a measure of uncertainty in predicting eight Indian rupee-based exchange rate return series. The paper adopts the wild bootstrap likelihood ratio introduced by Kim and Shamsuddin (2020) to test the predictability of daily Indian rupee-based exchange rate return series. The results reveal GFI as an insignificant determinant of Indian rupee-based exchange rate return series. However,
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
34
期刊介绍: The Pacific Economic Review (PER) publishes high-quality articles in all areas of economics, both the theoretical and empirical, and welcomes in particular analyses of economic issues in the Asia-Pacific area. Published five times a year from 2007, the journal is of interest to academic, government and corporate economists. The Pacific Economic Review is the official publication of the Hong Kong Economic Association and has a strong editorial team and international board of editors. As a highly acclaimed journal, the Pacific Economic Review is a source of valuable information and insight. Contributors include Nobel Laureates and leading scholars from all over the world.
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