{"title":"拜登政府的贸易政策:承诺与现实","authors":"T. Schoenbaum","doi":"10.1017/glj.2023.7","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This Article critically analyzes seven elements of the Biden administration trade policy: (1) buy American; (2) tariffs; (3) World Trade Organization; (4) free trade agreements; (5) China; (6) technology; and (7) Russia. Although President Biden has made a clean break from Trump policies in many areas, this is not the case when it comes to international trade. Regretfully, Biden has chosen to keep in place most of the failed trade policies of his predecessor—the Trump tariffs and the China trade war. It is not too late to shift ground, to negotiate mutual abolition of the Trump tariffs, to open free trade negotiations with the EU and UK, to join the Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership, to adopt a multilateral strategy with allies to check Chinese trade excesses, and to reengage with the World Trade Organization. Topping the list of needed reforms of the multilateral trading system are: (1) subsidies; (2) state-owned enterprises; and (3) forced technology transfer. These are best addressed through a WTO plurilateral agreement and/or preferential trade agreements. The Biden administration should prioritize these urgent reforms. Rather than promoting “free” trade and multilateral trade reforms, the Biden administration continues its predecessor’s nationalistic policies so that trade serves domestic political ends. Such state intervention in trade policy consists of the strategic use of tariffs, subsidies, “buy American” rules, and regional trade arrangements without regard to the rules of the multilateral trading system. These new policies represent a decisive retreat from globalization and openness to trade. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
摘要本文批判性地分析了拜登政府贸易政策的七个要素:(1)购买美国货;(2)关税;(三)世界贸易组织;(四)自由贸易协定;(5)中国;(6)技术;(7)俄罗斯。虽然拜登总统在许多领域与特朗普的政策彻底决裂,但在国际贸易方面却并非如此。遗憾的是,拜登选择了保留其前任失败的大部分贸易政策——特朗普的关税和中国贸易战。现在改变立场,就相互取消特朗普关税进行谈判,与欧盟和英国开启自由贸易谈判,加入《全面与进步跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》(Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership,简称tpp),与盟友一起采取多边战略,遏制中国的过度贸易行为,并重新加入世界贸易组织(wto),还为时不晚。多边贸易体制需要改革的首要事项是:(1)补贴;(二)国有企业;(3)强制技术转让。这些问题最好通过世贸组织诸边协定和/或优惠贸易协定来解决。拜登政府应该优先考虑这些紧迫的改革。拜登政府没有推进“自由”贸易和多边贸易改革,而是延续了前任政府的民族主义政策,让贸易服务于国内政治目的。这种国家对贸易政策的干预包括战略性地使用关税、补贴、“购买美国货”规则和区域贸易安排,而不考虑多边贸易体系的规则。这些新政策代表着全球化和贸易开放的决定性倒退。在拜登政府的领导下,国会通过了一项影响深远的产业政策,以四项法律的形式补贴美国经济的关键部门:美国拯救计划法案(400亿美元);基础设施和就业法案(1.2万亿美元);通货膨胀减少法案(3690亿美元);和筹码法案(2527亿美元)。这种补贴加上“购买美国货”的保护主义,背离了自二战结束以来美国政策的自由贸易理想。
The Biden Administration’s Trade Policy: Promise and Reality
Abstract This Article critically analyzes seven elements of the Biden administration trade policy: (1) buy American; (2) tariffs; (3) World Trade Organization; (4) free trade agreements; (5) China; (6) technology; and (7) Russia. Although President Biden has made a clean break from Trump policies in many areas, this is not the case when it comes to international trade. Regretfully, Biden has chosen to keep in place most of the failed trade policies of his predecessor—the Trump tariffs and the China trade war. It is not too late to shift ground, to negotiate mutual abolition of the Trump tariffs, to open free trade negotiations with the EU and UK, to join the Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership, to adopt a multilateral strategy with allies to check Chinese trade excesses, and to reengage with the World Trade Organization. Topping the list of needed reforms of the multilateral trading system are: (1) subsidies; (2) state-owned enterprises; and (3) forced technology transfer. These are best addressed through a WTO plurilateral agreement and/or preferential trade agreements. The Biden administration should prioritize these urgent reforms. Rather than promoting “free” trade and multilateral trade reforms, the Biden administration continues its predecessor’s nationalistic policies so that trade serves domestic political ends. Such state intervention in trade policy consists of the strategic use of tariffs, subsidies, “buy American” rules, and regional trade arrangements without regard to the rules of the multilateral trading system. These new policies represent a decisive retreat from globalization and openness to trade. The Congress, directed by the Biden administration, has adopted a far-reaching industrial policy in the form of four laws that subsidize key sectors of the U.S. economy: American Rescue Plan Act ($40 billion); Infrastructure and Jobs Act ($1.2 trillion); Inflation Reduction Act ($369 billion); and Chips Act ($252.7 billion). This subsidization coupled with “buy American” protectionism constitute a departure from the free trade ideal that has characterized U.S. policy since the end of World War II.