{"title":"风险寻求行为及其对年金保险公司最优决策的启示","authors":"Cuixia Chen, Yi-Jia Lin, Minghe Zhou","doi":"10.1080/10920277.2021.1977144","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This study investigates risk-seeking and optimal decisions of annuity providers. On the basis of a sample of U.S. life and annuity (L/A) insurers between 1997 and 2016, the results show clear performance-dependent risk attitudes. Specifically, insurers with returns below aspiration levels take more risks, whereas those with returns above reference levels decrease their risk-seeking, which supports the basic propositions of the cumulative prospect theory (CPT). Given initial evidence of mixed risk preferences in the L/A insurance industry, we derive an annuity insurer’s optimal investment and business strategies in a CPT decision-making framework. We show that changing risk preferences considerably affect an annuity provider’s decisions. We further illustrate how risk management changes an annuity insurer’s optimal strategies. Our results suggest that risk management lowers downside risk and allows a loss-averse decision maker to assume more risk and achieve a higher level of utility.","PeriodicalId":46812,"journal":{"name":"North American Actuarial Journal","volume":"27 1","pages":"25 - 46"},"PeriodicalIF":1.4000,"publicationDate":"2021-08-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Risk-Seeking Behavior and Its Implications for the Optimal Decision Making of Annuity Insurers\",\"authors\":\"Cuixia Chen, Yi-Jia Lin, Minghe Zhou\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/10920277.2021.1977144\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This study investigates risk-seeking and optimal decisions of annuity providers. On the basis of a sample of U.S. life and annuity (L/A) insurers between 1997 and 2016, the results show clear performance-dependent risk attitudes. Specifically, insurers with returns below aspiration levels take more risks, whereas those with returns above reference levels decrease their risk-seeking, which supports the basic propositions of the cumulative prospect theory (CPT). Given initial evidence of mixed risk preferences in the L/A insurance industry, we derive an annuity insurer’s optimal investment and business strategies in a CPT decision-making framework. We show that changing risk preferences considerably affect an annuity provider’s decisions. We further illustrate how risk management changes an annuity insurer’s optimal strategies. Our results suggest that risk management lowers downside risk and allows a loss-averse decision maker to assume more risk and achieve a higher level of utility.\",\"PeriodicalId\":46812,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"North American Actuarial Journal\",\"volume\":\"27 1\",\"pages\":\"25 - 46\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-08-17\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"North American Actuarial Journal\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2021.1977144\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"North American Actuarial Journal","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2021.1977144","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Risk-Seeking Behavior and Its Implications for the Optimal Decision Making of Annuity Insurers
This study investigates risk-seeking and optimal decisions of annuity providers. On the basis of a sample of U.S. life and annuity (L/A) insurers between 1997 and 2016, the results show clear performance-dependent risk attitudes. Specifically, insurers with returns below aspiration levels take more risks, whereas those with returns above reference levels decrease their risk-seeking, which supports the basic propositions of the cumulative prospect theory (CPT). Given initial evidence of mixed risk preferences in the L/A insurance industry, we derive an annuity insurer’s optimal investment and business strategies in a CPT decision-making framework. We show that changing risk preferences considerably affect an annuity provider’s decisions. We further illustrate how risk management changes an annuity insurer’s optimal strategies. Our results suggest that risk management lowers downside risk and allows a loss-averse decision maker to assume more risk and achieve a higher level of utility.