研究说明:在2020年总统选举后,对选民欺诈的错误信念进行审查

Gordon Pennycook, David G. Rand
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引用次数: 59

摘要

在2020年美国总统大选中,出现了前所未有的虚假声明,声称选举舞弊,并声称唐纳德·特朗普是选举的真正赢家。在这里,我们报道了一项调查,该调查是在拜登被宣布获胜三天后进行的,旨在探索人们对这些虚假言论的看法。我们发现,在我们的样本中,大多数支持特朗普的选民——尤其是那些更了解政治、更密切关注选举新闻的人——错误地认为选举欺诈很普遍,特朗普赢得了选举。因此,关于选举的错误信念不仅仅是一个边缘现象。我们还发现,特朗普承认或输掉他的法律挑战,可能会导致大多数特朗普选民接受拜登的胜利是合法的,尽管40%的人表示,无论如何,他们都会继续认为拜登是非法的。最后,我们发现,在特朗普和拜登的选民中,党派仇恨和对暴力的支持程度是相同的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research note: Examining false beliefs about voter fraud in the wake of the 2020 Presidential Election
The 2020 U.S. Presidential Election saw an unprecedented number of false claims alleging election fraud and arguing that Donald Trump was the actual winner of the election. Here we report a sur-vey exploring belief in these false claims that was conducted three days after Biden was declared the winner. We find that a majority of Trump voters in our sample – particularly those who were more politically knowledgeable and more closely following election news – falsely believed that election fraud was widespread and that Trump won the election. Thus, false beliefs about the elec-tion are not merely a fringe phenomenon. We also find that Trump conceding or losing his legal challenges would likely lead a majority of Trump voters to accept Biden’s victory as legitimate, alt-hough 40% said they would continue to view Biden as illegitimate regardless. Finally, we found that levels of partisan spite and endorsement of violence were equivalent between Trump and Biden voters.
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CiteScore
20.70
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