欧洲的新音乐会:战后的安全和秩序

IF 1.2 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
Karsten Jung
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自冷战结束以来,在重新统一的欧洲,恢复联合外交作为管理秩序和安全的一种手段的想法在理论上被反复讨论,但在实践中从未被追求。虽然已经尝试了一些更为有限的协调危机管理形式,但维护大陆秩序的更广泛任务留给了一个表面上“相互关联的机构和关系”网络,包括欧安组织、北约和欧盟等正式多边组织,以及各种形式的或多或少的制度化合作,如北约的和平伙伴关系(PfP)、北约理事会(NRC)和欧盟的睦邻政策(ENP)。随着支撑它的自由主义秩序的逐渐消亡,这种精心设计的安排在过去十年中逐渐受到侵蚀。随着俄罗斯于2022年2月24日开始对乌克兰发动全面进攻,出于所有实际意图和目的,它已经基本崩溃。其大多数包容性机构要么解散,要么陷入僵局,其最基本的规范和原则因不断公然违反而受到破坏。因此,为了在战争结束时恢复大陆秩序和安全,需要远远超出和平协议的直接条件的新安排。鉴于普遍的自由主义规范和制度在阻止俄罗斯对乌克兰的侵略战争方面明显失败,欧洲秩序的这种改革可能会导致对大陆安全采取更务实、更现实的做法。然而,这种新的现实主义有两种看似矛盾的变体。有人认为,在可预见的未来,欧洲的安全将是来自俄罗斯和
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A New Concert for Europe: Security and Order After the War
Since the end of the ColdWar, the idea of reviving concert diplomacy as a means to manage order and security in a reunited Europe has been repeatedly discussed in theory, but never pursued in practice. While some more limited forms of concerted crisis management have been tried, the broader task of maintaining continental order has been left to a network of ostensibly “interlocking institutions and relationships” including formal multilateral organizations such as the OSCE, NATO and the EU, as well as various forms of more or less institutionalized cooperation like NATO’s Partnership for Peace (PfP), the NATORussia-Council (NRC), and the EU’s Neighborhood Policy (ENP). With the gradual demise of the liberal order underpinning it, this elaborate arrangement has progressively eroded over the course of the past decade. And with the start of Russia’s all-out attack on Ukraine on February 24, 2022, it has—for all practical intents and purposes—essentially collapsed. Most of its inclusive institutions have either been dissolved or deadlocked, and its most fundamental norms and principles undermined by their constant and blatant violation. To restore continental order and security when and however the war ends, therefore, new arrangements will be needed that go far beyond the immediate conditions of a peace deal. Given the apparent failure of prevailing liberal norms and institutions to prevent Russia’s war of aggression in Ukraine, such a reform of the European order will likely lead to a more pragmatic, realist approach to continental security. This new realism, however, comes in two seemingly conflicting varieties. One posits that, for the foreseeable future, security in Europe will be security from Russia and
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
5.90%
发文量
20
期刊介绍: The Washington Quarterly (TWQ) is a journal of global affairs that analyzes strategic security challenges, changes, and their public policy implications. TWQ is published out of one of the world"s preeminent international policy institutions, the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), and addresses topics such as: •The U.S. role in the world •Emerging great powers: Europe, China, Russia, India, and Japan •Regional issues and flashpoints, particularly in the Middle East and Asia •Weapons of mass destruction proliferation and missile defenses •Global perspectives to reduce terrorism Contributors are drawn from outside as well as inside the United States and reflect diverse political, regional, and professional perspectives.
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