INVESTIGATION OF THE IMPACT OF DELAY IN ONE MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF WORLD DEVELOPMENT DYNAMICS

There is a large number of works devoted to the dynamics of world development. But very few of them have clear abstract mathematical models of the corresponding processes. This work is devoted to further deepening and mathematical abstraction of the study of world development process. The qualitative analysis of linear and modified nonlinear model in the form of systems of inhomogeneous differential equations is carried out. Their steady states are calculated, explicit analytical solutions are presented. For the first time, a model taking into account the time delay factor is proposed, which is written in the form of functional-differential equations with argument deviation. It is shown that with such an introduction to the model of a delayed argument, the system can be reduced to a system of linear inhomogeneous differential equations with constant coefficients without delay, and the stability of the steady state of the system equilibrium under study will be affected only by linear terms of equations without argument deviation. This fact well correlates with the socio-economic interpretation of this problem. In the future, the work will focus on studying the influence of not one but several factors of time lag, when the model is presented as a system of functional-differential equations with several different deviating arguments in equations responsible for the dynamics of a particular process dynamics of world development.