克里米亚-刚果出血热:俄罗斯联邦2022年流行病学和流行病学情况,2023年发病率预测

Q3 Medicine
A. Volynkina, N. Tkachenko, O. Maletskaya, O. N. Skudareva, I. V. Tishchenko, A. A. Zhirova, Y. Lisitskaya, L. Shaposhnikova, D. V. Rostovtseva, E. Manin, D. Prislegina, V. Petrovskaya, E. V. Yatsmenko, A. Kulichenko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

该综述分析了2022年俄罗斯联邦克里米亚-刚果出血热(CCHF)的流行病学和流行病学状况。然而,2022年登记的CCHF发病率(59例)是2021年的1.2倍,低于长期年均值。死亡率为10.2%,超过了长期观察的指标(2012-2011-2021年为3.2%)。在对固定观察点进行流行病学调查后,发现2022年边缘透明瘤的数量总体上与平均长期指标相对应。2017-2022年在俄罗斯流行的CCHF病毒分离株属于遗传系“欧洲-1”(V)、“欧洲-2”(VI)和“欧洲-3”(VII)。2017-2022年,俄罗斯联邦境内人群中CCHF病毒基因变异的比例没有变化。在分析自然气候因素的基础上,对2023年俄罗斯联邦CCHF的发生率进行了预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Crimean-Congo Hemorrhagic Fever: Epidemiological and Epizootiological Situation in the Russian Federation in 2022, Incidence Forecast for 2023
The review presents an analysis of the epidemiological and epizootiological situation on Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever (CCHF) in the Russian Federation in 2022. The incidence rate of CCHF registered in 2022 (59 cases) was 1.2 times higher as compared to 2021, however, below the long-term average annual values. The mortality rate was 10.2 %, which exceeds the indicators of long-term observations (in 2012–2021 – 3.2 %). Following epizootiological survey of stationary observation points, it was found that the number of Hyalomma marginatum imago in 2022, in general, corresponded to the average long-term indicators. CCHF virus isolates circulating in Russia in 2017–2022 belonged to the genetic lines “Europe-1” (V), “Europe-2” (VI), and “Europe-3” (VII). The ratio of CCHF virus genovariants in the population on the territory of the Russian Federation in 2017–2022 didn’t change. Based on the analysis of naturalclimatic factors, the forecast for the incidence of CCHF in the Russian Federation for 2023 has been made.
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来源期刊
Problemy Osobo Opasnykh Infektsii
Problemy Osobo Opasnykh Infektsii Medicine-Infectious Diseases
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
79
审稿时长
12 weeks
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