现代俄罗斯地区政治精英的影响因素:来自圣彼得堡和列宁格勒地区的证据

O. Popova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

该研究项目的相关性取决于精英群体在现代俄罗斯政治中的主导作用。精英阶层解决社会热点问题的机会和能力在很大程度上取决于他们的影响力。本文介绍了圣彼得堡和列宁格勒地区(2021年11月底至12月初)的一项专家研究结果。地区政治精英本身的代表以及“关键线人”充当了专家。收集专家信息的技术包括一套定性和定量方法(对数据进行分组,估计变异序列的平均值和离散测度,以及多维比例、因子和聚类分析的方法)。对22个参数进行了评估。在圣彼得堡,有六个因素与当局加强影响力的战略有关:一般社会化和政治社会化的条件;政治家基于其领导类型的主导沟通策略;经济资源;与政客家庭有关的政治生涯的非正式理由;培养客户主义,这对于大都市来说是非典型的;除了公共行政和公共政策外,还拥有其他领域工作经验的地区精英。政客们自己大多被三种形象类型所吸引:a)富有成效的政治“重量级人物”,与生俱来的权利属于一个家族,或者与经济和非正式关系“过度发达”,包括与“影子结构”的关系,他有实际的经济机会影响该地区的局势;b) “政治论坛”,积极与人民沟通,并依靠在该地区居民中培养稳定、积极的自我态度;c) 一个“内部人士”,与该地区命运相连,拥有稳定的政治观点。研究表明,在圣彼得堡,线上和线下的公共交流活动并不是增强政治家“政治影响力”的重要条件;属于一个氏族(家庭、朋友团体、职业氏族)要重要得多。专家们否认,圣彼得堡政客突出的男性或女性行为模式是加强其影响力的重要因素。在列宁格勒地区,影响政治家意义的潜在因素的配置是不同的。其中最重要的因素包括以下几个方面:政治家被招募上台的渠道和方法;个人信息政策在互联网上的活动;社会资本、人力资本和地位资本通过出生在某个家庭或与某些有影响力的地区群体进行有效互动而存在;强调个人资源的展示;真正的领导素质;对该地区经济资源的控制。根据他们所利用并向公众展示的各种品质,确定了五种占主导地位的政治家类型。政治家在解决区域问题方面进行大规模战略思考的能力以及公共政治中突出的性别行为的重要性得到了证实。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Factors of Influence of the Regional Political Elite in Modern Russia: Evidences from St. Petersburg and the Leningrad Region
The relevance of the research project is determined by the dominant role of elite groups in modern Russian politics. The opportunity and ability of the elite to solve topical social issues to a large extent depend on the degree of their influence. The article presents the results of an expert study in St. Petersburg and the Leningrad Region (late November to early December 2021). Representatives of the regional political elite themselves, as well as “key informants” acted as experts. The technology for collecting expert information included a set of qualitative and quantitative methods (methods of grouping data with an estimate of the average values of the variation series and dispersion measures, as well as multidimensional scaling, factorial and cluster analysis). The evaluation was carried out on 22 parameters. In St. Petersburg, six factors are associated with the strategies used by the authorities to strengthen their influence: the conditions of general and political socialization; dominant communication strategies of politicians based on the type of their leadership; economic resources; informal grounds for political career related to the politicians’ families; cultivation of clientelism, atypical for a metropolis; the regional elite having work experience in other areas, in addition to public administration and public policy. The politicians themselves are mostly attracted to three image types: a) a productive political “heavyweight”, belonging to a clan by birthright or “overgrown” with economic and informal ties, including with “shadow structures”, who has real economic opportunities to influence the situation in the region; b) a “political tribune”, who actively communicates with the population and relies on cultivating a stable positive attitude towards themselves among the inhabitants of the region; c) an “insider”, connected with the region by their destiny and having stable political views. The study showed that in St. Petersburg, public communicative activity online and offline is not a significant condition for strengthening the “political weight” of a politician; belonging to a clan (family, friend group, professional clan) is much more important. Experts deny that accentuated masculine or feminine behaviour patterns of politicians in St. Petersburg are a significant factor in strengthening their influence. In the Leningrad Region, the configuration of the latent factors influencing the significance of politicians is different. The most important factors include the following: the channel and method of politician’s recruitment to power; the activity of personal information policy on the Internet; the presence of social, human and status capital through birth in a certain family or effective interaction with certain influential regional groups; an accentuated demonstration of personal resources; the presence of real leadership qualities; control over economic resources in the region. Five dominant types of politicians were identified in terms of the various qualities exploited by them and demonstrated to the public. The importance of the ability of politicians to large-scale, strategic thinking in solving regional problems and the accentuated gender type of behaviour in public politics was confirmed.
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