2019冠状病毒病大流行期间斯里兰卡蔬菜市场的空间整合

D. Kumari, J. Weerahewa, D. Hemachandra
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摘要

大多数蔬菜通过传统供应链通过丹布拉专用经济中心(DDEC),这是斯里兰卡的主要批发市场,进入区域市场。随着COVID-19大流行,斯里兰卡政府实施了几项措施,以保持该国蔬菜市场的一体化。本研究的目的是检查2019冠状病毒病大流行期间斯里兰卡九个区域蔬菜批发市场与DDEC的市场整合程度。采用恩格尔-格兰杰协整检验对DDEC和区域市场的蔬菜价格进行两两比较,以实现这一目标。分析以第一差分形式进行,符合增广Dickey-Fuller (ADF)平稳性检验。采用向量自回归模型(VAR)和向量误差修正模型(VECM)对短期价格非均衡进行检验。分析使用了2018-2021年期间豆类、胡萝卜、番茄和茄子市场的每周批发价格。结果显示,在2019冠状病毒病疫情期间,只有Dehiaththakandiya、Thambuttegama、Nuwara Eliya、Meegoda和Colombo蔬菜批发市场的豆类市场表现出与DDEC的协整行为。在新冠疫情期间,其他蔬菜市场均未与DDEC进行空间整合。在大流行之前,除安帕拉、科伦坡和德希aththakandiya区域市场外,所有其他豆类、胡萝卜、番茄和茄子区域市场都在空间上与DDEC进行了长期或短期整合。综上所述,尽管政府采取了各种干预措施,以保持蔬菜市场渠道的顺畅和一致,但新冠肺炎疫情对该国蔬菜营销体系的价格传导产生了负面影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Spatial Integration of Vegetable Markets of Sri Lanka during COVID-19 Pandemic
The majority of the vegetables moving through traditional supply chains pass via Dambulla Dedicated Economic Centre (DDEC), which is the main wholesale market in Sri Lanka, to the regional markets. With the COVID-19 pandemic, the Sri Lankan government implemented several measures to keep vegetable markets of the country integrated. The objective of this study was to examine the degree of market integration of nine regional wholesale vegetable markets with DDEC in Sri Lanka during the COVID-19 pandemic. Pairwise comparisons between vegetable prices at DDEC and regional markets were done using Engle- Granger Co-integration test to achieve this objective. The analysis was carried out in the first differenced form, which conformed to the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) tests of stationarity. Short-run price disequilibrium was tested using Vector Auto-Regression Model (VAR) and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Weekly wholesale prices of beans, carrot, tomato, and brinjal markets during 2018-2021 were used for the analysis. The results revealed that only bean markets in Dehiaththakandiya, Thambuttegama, Nuwara Eliya, Meegoda, and Colombo wholesale vegetable markets depicted cointegrated behaviour with DDEC during the COVID-19 period. None of the other vegetable markets were integrated spatially with DDEC during the COVID-19 period. Before the pandemic, except in Ampara, Colombo and Dehiaththakandiya regional markets, all the other regional markets for beans, carrot, tomato, and brinjal were spatially integrated with DDEC either long run or short run. In conclusion, despite various government interventions to keep the vegetable market channels smoothly and consistently, the COVID-19 has negatively affected on price transmission of the vegetable marketing system of the country.
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