PAP模式:4G能继续掌权吗?

Q3 Social Sciences

Round Table Pub Date : 2023-03-04 DOI:10.1080/00358533.2023.2201076

James Chin

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引用次数: 0

摘要

在“第四代”(4G)在下一次大选中接管政权后，人民行动党可能会继续执政，至少在短期内是这样。最有可能的情况是4G继续保持供电，但占多数的比例要小得多。如果人民行动党失去权力，那将是因为在三个特定领域管理不善:经济、外国人才和精英凝聚力。4G的领导者不太可能对新加坡的系统做出彻底的改变。新加坡不会是西方式的自由民主国家，任何真正的政治体制改革都必须等待5G领导层。

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The PAP model: can the 4G hold on to power?

ABSTRACT The PAP will probably remain in power, in the short term at least, after the ‘fourth generation‘ (4G) takes over in the next general elections. The most likely scenario is for the 4G to maintain power but with much smaller majorities. If the PAP were to lose power, it would be because of mismanagement in three specific areas: the economy, foreign talent and elite cohesion. The 4G leaders are unlikely to make radical changes to the Singapore system. Singapore will not be a Western-type liberal democracy, and any real reforms to the political system will have to wait for the 5G leadership.

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来源期刊

Round Table Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development

CiteScore

1.70

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Founded in 1910, The Round Table, Britain"s oldest international affairs journal, provides analysis and commentary on all aspects of international affairs. The journal is the major source for coverage of policy issues concerning the contemporary Commonwealth and its role in international affairs, with occasional articles on themes of historical interest. The Round Table has for many years been a repository of informed scholarship, opinion, and judgement regarding both international relations in general, and the Commonwealth in particular, with authorship and readership drawn from the worlds of government, business, finance and academe.