新冠肺炎大流行之前和期间,哈希率、交易量、社交媒体和宏观经济学对比特币的影响

Q2 Business, Management and Accounting
Yen Sun, C. Amanda, Berty Caroline Centana
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的本研究旨在确定在新冠肺炎大流行之前和期间影响比特币价格回报的因素。设计/方法论/方法本研究中使用的自变量是哈希率、交易量、社交媒体和一些宏观经济学变量。使用向量误差校正模型(VECM)对数据进行处理,以确定变量之间的短期和长期关系。发现研究表明:(1)在新冠肺炎大流行之前,推特和黄金在短期内显著影响了比特币;(2) 在新冠肺炎大流行之前,哈希率、交易量、推特和金融压力指数对比特币的长期影响显著;(3) 在新冠肺炎大流行期间,波动率指数对比特币的短期影响显著;(4)在新冠肺炎大流行期间,哈希率、交易量、推特和瑞士法郎/美元对比特币的长期影响显著。研究局限性/含义这项研究解释了影响比特币的因素,因此投资者和监管机构可以更加关注并为潜在风险做好准备,并更好地了解市场状况,以便在未来更多地采用加密货币。原创/价值本研究的新颖之处在于,在新冠肺炎大流行之前和期间,分析了推动比特币价格的各种因素,包括社交媒体,因为有趣的是,情绪是比特币价格回报的预测力量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The effect of hashrate, transaction volume, social media and macroeconomics on Bitcoin before and during the COVID-19 pandemic
PurposeThis research aims to determine the factors that affected Bitcoin price return in the period before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.Design/methodology/approachThe independent variables used in this study are hashrate, transaction volume, social media and some macroeconomics variables. The data are processed using the vector error correction model (VECM) to determine the short-term and long-term relationships between variables.FindingsThe research shows that (1) Twitter and Gold significantly affected Bitcoin in the short term before the COVID-19 pandemic; (2) hashrate, transaction volume, Twitter and the financial stress index had a significant effect on Bitcoin in the long term before the COVID-19 pandemic; (3) the volatility index had a significant effect on Bitcoin in the short term during the COVID-19 pandemic; and (4) hashrate, transaction volume, Twitter and CHF/USD had a significant effect on Bitcoin in the long term during the COVID-19 pandemic.Research limitations/implicationsThis research provides explanation about factors affecting Bitcoin so investors and regulators can pay more attention and prepare for the potential risks as well as to get a good understanding of market conditions for greater crypto adoption in the future.Originality/valueThe novelty in this study is the various factors driving the Bitcoin price were analyzed before and during the COVID-19 pandemic including the social media, as sentiment, interestingly, is being a predictive power for Bitcoin price return.
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来源期刊
AJAR Asian Journal of Accounting Research
AJAR Asian Journal of Accounting Research Business, Management and Accounting-Accounting
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
21
审稿时长
12 weeks
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