基于季节管理数据的pm2.5变化及统计特征分析

Hyunjun Ahn, Dongju Kim, Okgil Kim, Jae-Bum Lee, Daegyun Lee
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:本研究旨在识别空气环境指标之一的细颗粒物(PM-2.5)观测浓度数据的变化和统计特征,并基于观测数据的统计显著性分析韩国观测数据的变异性。方法:采用描述性统计方法(基础统计和频次分析)和推理统计方法(方差分析和事后分析)对2015 - 2021年12月至3月pm2.5日均值观测值的变化特征进行分析。结果与讨论:通过方差分析和事后分析证实,截至2019年冬季,两地pm2.5观测值存在统计学差异。在2019年之前,大于30µg/m3的观测数据频率相对高于2019年之后,反之,小于20µg/m3的观测数据频率相对低于2019年之后。2019年之后,大于50µg/m3的高浓度观测频率不显著,相反,小于20µg/m3的观测频率较2019年之前有所增加。因此,2019年前后的平均差异为7.5µg/m3,与2019年之前的平均值相比降低了约24%。同时,通过考察天气影响(风向、风速)对2019年前后观测数据差异的原因进行分析,发现由于气象条件的影响,两个时间段之间没有明显差异。结论:韩国观测到的pm2.5浓度数据集在2019年冬季呈现变异性,显著性水平为5%。这种变异性可能更多地归因于人为活动和COVID-19等社会环境变化,而不是气象因素等自然环境因素。为了更有效地管理空气质量,有必要识别社会变化及其流向,同时进行数据扩展和分析技术开发等持续系统的研究。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of Changes and Statistical Characteristics in PM-2.5 based on the Seasonal Management Data
Objectives : This study aims to identify the changes and statistical characteristics of the observed concentration data of fine particles (PM-2.5), one of the air environment indicators, and to analyze the variability of observation data in South Korea based on the statistical significance of the observation data.Methods : We analyzed the changes and characteristics of daily average PM-2.5 observations based on descriptive statistics (the basic statistical and frequency analysis), and inference statistics (analysis of variance and post-hoc analysis) from December to March for the period 2015 to 2021.Results and Discussion : Through ANOVA analysis and post-hoc analysis, it was confirmed that there was a statistically significant difference in the observed PM-2.5 as of the winter of 2019. Before 2019, the frequency of observed data greater 30 µg/m3 was relatively more than after 2019, and on the contrary, the frequency of observed data less than 20 µg/m3 was smaller than after 2019. After 2019, the frequency of high-concentration observations greater than 50 µg/m3 was insignificant, and on the contrary, the frequency of observations less than 20 µg/m3 was more than before 2019. As a result, It’s an average difference of 7.5 µg/m3 between before and after 2019, and it was reduced by about 24% compared to the average before 2019. Meanwhile, as a result of examining the weather influence (wind direction and wind speed) to analyze the causes of the observed data differences before and after 2019, no significant differences were identified between the two periods due to the influence of meteorological conditions.Conclusion : The observed concentration of PM-2.5 data set in South Korea showed variability as of the winter season of 2019 at the significance level of 5%. The variability could be more attributed to anthropogenic activities and socio-environmental changes such as COVID-19 rather than natural environmental factors such as meteorological factors. In order to more effectively manage air quality, it is necessary to identify social changes and their flows, and at the same time conduct continuous and systematic research such as data expansion and analysis technique development.
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