一种确定浮动光伏方案的整体方法

IF 3.3 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS
Ching-Feng Chen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文综合时间序列预测、分析网络过程(ANP)和财务分析,确定台湾阿贡店水库和日本山仓大坝哪种浮动光伏商业投资更有利。尽管许多文献都与FPV环境影响、能源发电和水上光伏(PV)机组有关,但在优化方案中需要更多关于比较经济分析的讨论,以帮助投资者做出决策。各国的财政状况无法支持可再生能源的长期发展,特别是在疫情、俄乌战争、极端环境、通货膨胀和美国加息之后。结果表明,影响FPV部署规模的指标是系统容量、安装成本、银行利率,以及权重分别为0.23、0.23、0.12和0.42的排放交易系统和电费。在后上网电价(FIT)时代,在日本投资比在台湾投资更有利,因为前者的净现值(NPV)很有希望(7269.8,贴现率为5%)。内部收益率(IRR)为10.1%,收益成本比(BCR)为1.71,贴现率为5%,断点为55.2%。研究中提出的方法有利于利益相关者在资助项目时做出决策。浮动光伏部署
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A holistic method for determining floating photovoltaic schemes
This paper determines which floating photovoltaic (FPV) commerce investment is more favorable for Taiwan’s Agongdian Reservoir or Japan’s Yamakura Dam integrating time-series forecasting, analytical network process (ANP), and financial analyses. Although much literature is associated with the FPV environmental impact, energy generation, and photovoltaic (PV) units on water, there needs to be more discourse on comparative economic analysis in optimal schemes to help investors make decisions. The finances of various countries cannot support long-term renewable energy development, especially after the happenings of the epidemic, the Russian–Ukrainian war, extreme environment, inflation, and interest rate hike in the USA. The results reveal that the metrics impacting FPV deployment scales are system capacity, installation cost, bank rate, and emissions trading systems (ETSs) and electricity bills with weights of 0.23, 0.23, 0.12, and 0.42, respectively. In the post-feed-in tariff (FIT) era, investing in Japan is more favorable than in Taiwan as the former’s net present value (NPV) is promising (7269.8, at a discount rate of 5%). The internal rate of return (IRR), 10.1%, the benefit-cost ratio (BCR), 1.71 at a discount of 5%, and the breakpoint point, 55.2%, are affirmative. The approach proposed in the study benefits stakeholders’ decision-making while funding a project. Floating photovoltaic (FPV) deployment Floating photovoltaic (FPV) deployment
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来源期刊
MRS Energy & Sustainability
MRS Energy & Sustainability ENERGY & FUELS-
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
2.30%
发文量
36
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