在欧洲和美国预防慢性病的回报

IF 1.6 3区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Journal of Human Capital Pub Date : 2022-02-04 DOI:10.1086/718513

Jeffrey C. Yu, B. Tysinger, Andrea Piano Mortari, F. Belotti, Martha Ryan, V. Atella, D. Goldman

{"title":"在欧洲和美国预防慢性病的回报","authors":"Jeffrey C. Yu, B. Tysinger, Andrea Piano Mortari, F. Belotti, Martha Ryan, V. Atella, D. Goldman","doi":"10.1086/718513","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Since the 1950s, life expectancy in Europe and the United States has improved at a steady pace, driven mostly by gains at older ages. However, these lives are punctuated by more chronic disease than ever before, contributing to substantial morbidity and disability. Using the Future Elderly Model, we simulate longevity and disability over the remaining lifetime for cohorts of older Europeans and Americans. We see that investment in both treatment and prevention for cancer, diabetes, and heart disease show tremendous promise for breaking Europe and the United States out of the expensive equilibrium we now find ourselves in as a result of demographic gains.","PeriodicalId":46011,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Human Capital","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.6000,"publicationDate":"2022-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The Returns to Preventing Chronic Disease in Europe and the United States\",\"authors\":\"Jeffrey C. Yu, B. Tysinger, Andrea Piano Mortari, F. Belotti, Martha Ryan, V. Atella, D. Goldman\",\"doi\":\"10.1086/718513\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Since the 1950s, life expectancy in Europe and the United States has improved at a steady pace, driven mostly by gains at older ages. However, these lives are punctuated by more chronic disease than ever before, contributing to substantial morbidity and disability. Using the Future Elderly Model, we simulate longevity and disability over the remaining lifetime for cohorts of older Europeans and Americans. We see that investment in both treatment and prevention for cancer, diabetes, and heart disease show tremendous promise for breaking Europe and the United States out of the expensive equilibrium we now find ourselves in as a result of demographic gains.\",\"PeriodicalId\":46011,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Human Capital\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-02-04\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Human Capital\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1086/718513\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Human Capital","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1086/718513","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

摘要

自20世纪50年代以来，欧洲和美国的预期寿命稳步提高，主要是由于老年人的增长。然而，这些人的生活中穿插着比以往任何时候都多的慢性病，导致了大量的发病率和残疾。使用未来老年人模型，我们模拟了欧洲和美国老年人在剩余寿命内的寿命和残疾。我们看到，在癌症、糖尿病和心脏病的治疗和预防方面的投资显示出巨大的希望，可以打破欧洲和美国因人口增长而陷入的昂贵平衡。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

查看原文本刊更多论文

The Returns to Preventing Chronic Disease in Europe and the United States

Since the 1950s, life expectancy in Europe and the United States has improved at a steady pace, driven mostly by gains at older ages. However, these lives are punctuated by more chronic disease than ever before, contributing to substantial morbidity and disability. Using the Future Elderly Model, we simulate longevity and disability over the remaining lifetime for cohorts of older Europeans and Americans. We see that investment in both treatment and prevention for cancer, diabetes, and heart disease show tremendous promise for breaking Europe and the United States out of the expensive equilibrium we now find ourselves in as a result of demographic gains.

求助全文

通过发布文献求助，成功后即可免费获取论文全文。去求助

来源期刊

Journal of Human Capital ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

2.30

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Journal of Human Capital is dedicated to human capital and its expanding economic and social roles in the knowledge economy. Developed in response to the central role human capital plays in determining the production, allocation, and distribution of economic resources and in supporting long-term economic growth, JHC is a forum for theoretical and empirical work on human capital—broadly defined to include education, health, entrepreneurship, and intellectual and social capital—and related public policy analyses. JHC encompasses microeconomic, macroeconomic, and international economic perspectives on the theme of human capital. The journal offers a platform for discussion of topics ranging from education, labor, health, and family economics.