非洲人口发展与老龄化问题

Q3 Social Sciences

Etude de la Population Africaine Pub Date : 2019-09-30 DOI:10.11564/33-2-1410

Collet Muza, K. Mangombe

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引用次数: 1

摘要

背景：人口老龄化是21世纪的全球趋势，具有巨大的社会经济影响。然而，人们对非洲的人口老龄化还没有完全了解。非洲往往被描述为一个同质的区域，在政策制定方面毫无用处。数据和方法：本研究的目的是研究非洲区域人口老龄化的差异和相似性。人口老龄化的选定指标和决定因素取自1995-2000年、2010-2015年和2025-2030年期间的《世界人口展望》（2017）。研究结果：我们将k均值聚类方法应用于选定的指标，并根据国家的异质性和同质性对其进行分组。确定了人口老龄化程度高、中等和低的三个集群。结论：北部和南部非洲国家形成了一个相对同质的空间单元，老龄化程度最高。每个集群形成一个空间单元，根据《2030年议程》的建议，可以在其中制定、实施和共享关于人口发展和老龄化的适当政策措施，以实现可持续发展目标。

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Population development in Africa with special regards to ageing

Background: Population ageing is a global trend of the 21st century, with huge socioeconomic implications. Yet Africa’s population ageing is not fully understood. Africa is often characterized as a homogenous region which is not useful in terms of policy formulation. Data and methods: The purpose of this study is to examine regional population ageing differentials and similarities in Africa. Selected indicators and determinants of population ageing were taken from World Population Prospects (2017) for periods 1995-2000, 2010-2015 and 2025-2030. Findings: We applied k-means clustering method to selected indicators and grouped the countries according to their heterogeneity and homogeneity. Three clusters were identified with high, medium and low population ageing. Conclusion: Northern and Southern African countries formed a relatively homogeneous spatial unit with the highest ageing. Each cluster forms a spatial unit in which appropriate policy measures on population development and ageing can be formulated, implemented and shared as recommended by Agenda 2030, for Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

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来源期刊

Etude de la Population Africaine Social Sciences-Demography

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： African Population Studies is a biannual, peer-reviewed journal that publishes original research articles, reviews, commentaries, letters and case studies on topics related to the disciplines represented by the Union for African Population Studies Association. These disciplines include demography, population studies, public health, epidemiology, social statistics, population geography, development studies, economics and other social sciences that deal with population and development interrelationships that are unique and relevant to Africa and global audience.