{"title":"向瑞典决策者通报情况:一个小国的分析师-决策者关系","authors":"M. Fredholm","doi":"10.1080/16161262.2020.1746145","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT Policy makers tend to pick and choose among conclusions presented to them. This can result in politicization, which ultimately might result in intelligence being blamed for policy failures. This has a negative impact on intelligence analysis, transforming it in an ever more cautious direction which negates its utility in the policy process. Swedish intelligence learnt that for truly important intelligence reporting, in particular that which signified paradigm shifts, the conclusions had to be presented in a manner that had an impact, in an oral briefing. Moreover, the briefer must be prepared to defend the service’s conclusions. Hence, a keyword in the analyst-policy maker relationship was trust. The relationship had to develop into a partnership, in which the policy maker had the final word but the intelligence analyst did not shrink from presenting the service’s argument. This lesson from the Cold War appears to be just as valid in the present.","PeriodicalId":37890,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Intelligence History","volume":"20 1","pages":"25 - 44"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-04-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/16161262.2020.1746145","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Briefing the Swedish policy maker: the analyst-policy maker relationship in a small country\",\"authors\":\"M. Fredholm\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/16161262.2020.1746145\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"ABSTRACT Policy makers tend to pick and choose among conclusions presented to them. This can result in politicization, which ultimately might result in intelligence being blamed for policy failures. This has a negative impact on intelligence analysis, transforming it in an ever more cautious direction which negates its utility in the policy process. Swedish intelligence learnt that for truly important intelligence reporting, in particular that which signified paradigm shifts, the conclusions had to be presented in a manner that had an impact, in an oral briefing. Moreover, the briefer must be prepared to defend the service’s conclusions. Hence, a keyword in the analyst-policy maker relationship was trust. The relationship had to develop into a partnership, in which the policy maker had the final word but the intelligence analyst did not shrink from presenting the service’s argument. This lesson from the Cold War appears to be just as valid in the present.\",\"PeriodicalId\":37890,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Intelligence History\",\"volume\":\"20 1\",\"pages\":\"25 - 44\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-04-14\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/16161262.2020.1746145\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Intelligence History\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/16161262.2020.1746145\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Intelligence History","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/16161262.2020.1746145","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Briefing the Swedish policy maker: the analyst-policy maker relationship in a small country
ABSTRACT Policy makers tend to pick and choose among conclusions presented to them. This can result in politicization, which ultimately might result in intelligence being blamed for policy failures. This has a negative impact on intelligence analysis, transforming it in an ever more cautious direction which negates its utility in the policy process. Swedish intelligence learnt that for truly important intelligence reporting, in particular that which signified paradigm shifts, the conclusions had to be presented in a manner that had an impact, in an oral briefing. Moreover, the briefer must be prepared to defend the service’s conclusions. Hence, a keyword in the analyst-policy maker relationship was trust. The relationship had to develop into a partnership, in which the policy maker had the final word but the intelligence analyst did not shrink from presenting the service’s argument. This lesson from the Cold War appears to be just as valid in the present.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Intelligence History is the official publication of the International Intelligence History Association (IIHA). It is an international peer-reviewed journal that aims to provide a forum for original research on the history of intelligence services, activities and their wider historical, political and social contexts. The journal aims to publish scholarship on all aspects of the history of intelligence, across all continents, countries and periods of history. We encourage submissions across a wide range of topics, methodologies and approaches.