粮食供应对价格变化响应的实证分析——来自印度的证据

The Indian economic journal : the quarterly journal of the Indian Economic Association Pub Date : 2023-03-13 DOI:10.1177/00194662221138122

Jincy Mathew M., Vishwanatha

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引用次数: 0

摘要

粮食生产问题非常重要，因为它影响到增长、粮食安全和贫困。稳定的粮食价格对稳定粮食市场也很重要。本文试图基于1962年至2019年的年度数据，利用非线性自回归分布滞后模型研究食品价格波动对食品生产的影响。结果表明，粮食价格的变化对粮食生产有影响，具有统计学意义。非对称协整检验结果表明，粮食生产与粮食价格之间存在长期的非对称关系。JEL代码：Q11、C01、C32

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An Empirical Analysis of Supply Response of Food Grains to Changes in Price: Evidence from India

The issue of food production is very important as it affects growth, food security and poverty. Stable food grain price is also important to have a stable food grain market. This article attempts to study the impact of food price fluctuations on food production based on the annual data from 1962 to 2019 by using Non-linear Auto Regressive Distributed Lag model. The results show that changes in food grain price affects grain production and it is statistically significant. Furthermore, the result of asymmetric cointegration test shows that there is a long-run asymmetric relationship that exists between food production and food grain price. JEL Codes: Q11, C01, C32

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The Indian economic journal : the quarterly journal of the Indian Economic Association

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