干旱半干旱地区当前和未来潜在气候灾害及其对生计的影响及适应策略分析

B. Wambua
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引用次数: 1

摘要

该研究是在肯尼亚干旱和半干旱地区(ASALS)内选定的四个县进行的,即Garrisa、West Pokot、Kilifi和Tana River,这些县是肯尼亚干旱地区适应气候变化(KACCAL)项目下的县。该研究的重点是当前和未来潜在的气候灾害及其对生计的影响,以及在肯尼亚干旱地区适应气候变化框架内的适应战略。ASALS覆盖了肯尼亚80%的土地面积,供养着全国约70%的牲畜和90%的野生动物资源。尽管该地区具有巨大的发展潜力,但这些地区持续遭受严重的气候灾害,对家庭生计造成严重影响。研究方法涉及识别和评估多年来经历的主要气候灾害以及当地社区实施适应战略。这包括对农业和农村发展中气候风险的现行/现有评估进行审查、实地考察、数据收集,并通过对四个县的农民、项目规划者、管理人员和县官员进行一系列密集的问卷调查,咨询利益相关者。结果表明,受研究的四个县受到与气候变化相关的干旱、洪水、大风和山体滑坡灾害的影响,这些灾害影响了生活在ASALS地区的社区的生计。其影响体现在粮食不安全、水资源短缺、牲畜资源损失、作物持续歉收、营养不良病例增加导致婴儿发病率和死亡率等方面。管理气候变化影响Â的干预策略由其他好心人中的利益相关者应用:分发救济食品,提供住所,提供帐篷,建造石笼,转移高风险家庭以保护土地,建造水坝和水田。在家庭一级,使用的干预策略包括生计多样化、种植饲料作物以补充天然牧场、木炭燃烧、种植抗旱作物等。随后,该研究建议提高当地社区的意识,使他们的生计多样化,以应对不断变化的气候。ASALs的利益相关者、县政府和国家政府应更多地投资于干预策略,以管理气候变化的影响。ASALs的社区和其他利益相关者应接受培训,了解如何使用为监测各自县的气候变化影响而开发的工具和方法,并实施适当的干预策略,以确保家庭从气候变化相关的影响中恢复过来。换句话说,社区、县和国家政府的能力建设应该是重中之重。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of the Current and Potential Future Climate Hazards and their Impacts on Livelihoods and Adaptation Strategies in Arid and Semiarid Lands
The study was carried out in four selected counties within the Arid and Semi-Arid Lands (ASALS) of Kenya namely Garrisa, West Pokot, Kilifi and Tana River which were under Kenya-Adaptation to Climate Change in Arid Lands (KACCAL) program. The study focused on the current and potential future climate hazards and their impacts on livelihoods and adaptation strategies within the framework of Kenya – adaptation to climate change in arid lands. The ASALS covers 80% of Kenya’s land mass and support about 70 percent of the national livestock population and 90% of wildlife resources. Despite the great potential for development in the ASALS, the areas have continued experiencing great climate hazards leading to severe impacts on household livelihoods. The study methodology involved identification and assessing the major climatic hazards experienced for many years and implementation of adaptation strategies by the local communities. This involved a review of operating/ existing assessment of Climate Risks in Agriculture and Rural Development, Field visits, data collection and stakeholder consultation through a series of intensive questionnaire interviews with farmers, project Planners and managers and county officials in the four counties.The results showed that the four counties under study have been affected by droughts, floods, gusty winds and landslides hazards associated with climate change which have affected the livelihoods of the communities living in the ASALS. The impacts have been felt in food insecurity, scarcity of water resources, loss of livestock resources, persisted crop failure, increased malnutrition cases leading to infant morbidity and mortality among others. The intervention strategies to manage the climate change impacts  applied by stakeholders among other well-wishers are; distribution of food relief, provision of shelter, provision of tents, building gabions, moving families at high risk to saver grounds, construction of water dams and pans. At household level, intervention strategies used are diversification of livelihoods, growing of fodder crops to supplement the natural pasture, charcoal burning, growing of drought resistant crops among others. Subsequently, the study recommends that more awareness should be created among local communities so that they diversify their livelihoods to cope with changing climate. The stakeholder working in ASALs, County governments and National government should invest more on intervention strategies to management climate change impactsCommunities living in ASALs and other stakeholders should be trained on how to use tools and methodologies developed in order to monitor impacts of climate change in their respective counties and implement the appropriate intervention strategies to ensure households recover from impacts associated to of climate change. In other words, capacity building at community, county and national government should be a top priority.
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