{"title":"人口峰值背景下生命周期视角下的新问题","authors":"A. Bélanger","doi":"10.25336/CSP29381","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper proposes a theoretical examination of how taking a life cycle perspective can provide a better assessment of Canadian public policies in the context of population peaking. It links the changing life cycle patterns brought by the increase in the age of entry into the different phases of life and the increase in life expectancy to emerging issues related to population peaking such as the recruitment and the aging of immigrants or the future labour demand and supply by broad skill levels. Although most of the paper is theoretical in nature, a short section of it takes an empirical look and contrasts cross-sectional and life cycle estimates of economic dependency ratios for Canadian-born and foreign-born. These estimates are obtained from a dynamic microsimulation model of the Canadian population (LSD-C) that takes into account, among other things, differentials in labour force participation or educational attainment between population groups. The article concludes with suggestions on the most important data gaps that need to be filled to better inform policymaking processes.","PeriodicalId":44334,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Studies in Population","volume":"45 1","pages":"11-18"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8000,"publicationDate":"2018-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.25336/CSP29381","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Emerging issues in the life cycle perspective in the context of population peaking\",\"authors\":\"A. Bélanger\",\"doi\":\"10.25336/CSP29381\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This paper proposes a theoretical examination of how taking a life cycle perspective can provide a better assessment of Canadian public policies in the context of population peaking. It links the changing life cycle patterns brought by the increase in the age of entry into the different phases of life and the increase in life expectancy to emerging issues related to population peaking such as the recruitment and the aging of immigrants or the future labour demand and supply by broad skill levels. Although most of the paper is theoretical in nature, a short section of it takes an empirical look and contrasts cross-sectional and life cycle estimates of economic dependency ratios for Canadian-born and foreign-born. These estimates are obtained from a dynamic microsimulation model of the Canadian population (LSD-C) that takes into account, among other things, differentials in labour force participation or educational attainment between population groups. The article concludes with suggestions on the most important data gaps that need to be filled to better inform policymaking processes.\",\"PeriodicalId\":44334,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Canadian Studies in Population\",\"volume\":\"45 1\",\"pages\":\"11-18\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2018-05-03\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.25336/CSP29381\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Canadian Studies in Population\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"90\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.25336/CSP29381\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"社会学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"DEMOGRAPHY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Canadian Studies in Population","FirstCategoryId":"90","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.25336/CSP29381","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"DEMOGRAPHY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Emerging issues in the life cycle perspective in the context of population peaking
This paper proposes a theoretical examination of how taking a life cycle perspective can provide a better assessment of Canadian public policies in the context of population peaking. It links the changing life cycle patterns brought by the increase in the age of entry into the different phases of life and the increase in life expectancy to emerging issues related to population peaking such as the recruitment and the aging of immigrants or the future labour demand and supply by broad skill levels. Although most of the paper is theoretical in nature, a short section of it takes an empirical look and contrasts cross-sectional and life cycle estimates of economic dependency ratios for Canadian-born and foreign-born. These estimates are obtained from a dynamic microsimulation model of the Canadian population (LSD-C) that takes into account, among other things, differentials in labour force participation or educational attainment between population groups. The article concludes with suggestions on the most important data gaps that need to be filled to better inform policymaking processes.
期刊介绍:
Canadian Studies in Population is an established international forum for research on population processes in Canada and around the world. Emphasis is placed on cutting-edge research relevant to demography and other population-related fields (including economics, geography, sociology, health sciences, public policy, and environmental sciences). The journal publishes original research articles and brief research notes that make an empirical, theoretical or methodological contribution.
Since its founding in 1974, Canadian Studies in Population has been the official journal of the Canadian Population Society (CPS) and the leading journal on population studies in Canada, promoting dialogue between Canadian researchers, statistical agencies and policymakers.