一种潜在食源性疾病的经济影响：禽分枝杆菌亚群之间的潜在关系。乳制品中的副结核（MAP）和人类中的克罗恩病

International Journal on Food System Dynamics Pub Date : 2020-11-23 DOI:10.18461/IJFSD.V11I5.69

Leslie J. Verteramo Chiu, L. Tauer, R. Smith, T. Yrjo, Grohn

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引用次数: 0

摘要

通过向牛奶饮用者传播美国牛奶供应中禽副结核分枝杆菌（MAP）的流行率、其与人类克罗恩病的潜在联系以及随后政府干预以尽量减少牛奶供应中MAP的信息，来估计潜在食物冲击的福利成本。我们发现，在接触MAP信息的牛奶消费者中，19.6%的人会按照当前市场价格停止牛奶消费，而在政府干预后，只有5%的人会恢复到原来的牛奶消费水平。干预后粮食冲击的社会成本估计为182亿美元。

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Economic Effects of a Potential Foodborne Disease: Potential Relationship between Mycobacterium Avium Subs. Paratuberculosis (MAP) in Dairy and Crohn’s in Humans

Welfare costs of a potential food shock were estimated by disseminating information to milk drinkers on the prevalence of Mycobacterium avium sub. paratuberculosis (MAP) in the U.S. milk supply, its potential linkage to Crohn’s disease in humans, and subsequent government intervention to minimize MAP in the milk supply. We found that 19.6% of milk consumers exposed to MAP information would stop milk consumption at current market prices, and that only 5% of those would return to their original milk consumption levels after the government intervention. Societal costs of the food shock after the intervention were estimated at $18.2 billion.

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来源期刊

International Journal on Food System Dynamics Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)

CiteScore

1.60

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Understanding the development of the food system requires a system view that captures the complexity of the system and its many interrelationships with its economic, social and natural environments. The Journal accepts and offers papers within this broad range of issues focussing on the management, policy, marketing, consumer aspects, transparency, e-commerce, institutional or regional development, information and communication systems, ressource economics, production economics, chain management, network economics, and similar aspects. Papers may focus on modeling, empirical research or theoretical analyis. This broad range of publication opportunities asks authors to follow clear lines of arguments and to present arguments in a convincing way that avoids unnecessary complexities of model formulations if not relevant for the support of arguments. The publication of scientific articles is complemented by a number of sections that provide room for publications with a more specific focus: ''Case studies'': A section on case studies of the ''Harvard Type'' allows the publication of studies that might build on established scientific methodology but demonstrate its use in ceratin decision environments. Case studies might be complemented by ''teaching cases'' that are kept on a database outside the journal but accessible to readers on approval by authors. ''Research Forum'': It allows to discuss newly emerging research challenges or to contribute to ongoing scientific discussions on research problems. In addition, authors might initiate a discussion on issues brought up by articles published in the journal. ''Research Notes'': It provides room for specific shorter scientific contributions with a narrow scope.